ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 27, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft stock €69.10, price €234, that is 70.5% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €181.76 – €305.94 · fair‑value band €59.41 – €79.13 · the €234.00 price screens above the €69.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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ADM Hamburg does not have significant business. It intends to focus on the processing of oilseeds, soybeans, food and animal feed, and rapeseed in Germany. The company was founded in 1910 and is based in Hamburg, Germany. ADM Hamburg operates as a subsidiary of Archer-Daniels-Midland Company.
Stock analysis
ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL) currently trades at €234.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €69.10, 70% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €131.16 per share, and 2 of the 12 models we run sit above the €234.00 price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at €19.48, and 10 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €59.41 (bear) to €79.13 (bull), the price of €234.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €365M in FY2025 versus €434M in FY2021, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was €918K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €175M Micro · P/E ratio 190.2 · P/S ratio 0.48 · EPS (TTM) €1.23 · Dividend yield 5.8% · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −70%, OEL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (€10.19 to €315.17). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear€59.41Fair Value €69.10Bull€79.13
Price €234.00 · Downside -70.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.6% (2020) → 3.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
Compare ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−70.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)2.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−13.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)5.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.25× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)190.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.42× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.48× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA7.1× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 25
PAST (return on equity)3· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)88· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €69.10 versus the last price from Oct 27, 2026 of €234.00, about 70% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of OEL?
Our model-based fair value for ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft is €69.10 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 27, 2026): €234.00.
What is the quality score of OEL?
ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €69.10 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €59.41, optimistic scenario €79.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €69.10, about 70% lower versus the last price from Oct 27, 2026 of €234.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €59.41, optimistic scenario €79.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €365M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft pay a dividend?
ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft currently shows a dividend yield of 5.80% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL) and when is the ex-dividend date?
ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft pays a dividend of €13.58 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 14, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1996. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What is the intrinsic value of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft it is €69.10 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of €234.00. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, OEL trades above its calculated fair value: price €234.00, fair value €69.10, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€234.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€69.10). For ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft the two are €164.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft worth?
The market values ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft at about €175M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is €234.00; our models calculate a fair value of €69.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OEL?
Our models span a range for ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft: cautious scenario €59.41, base €69.10, optimistic €79.13 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price €234.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OEL?
ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 190.2 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €69.10 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 222.3. Other multiples: P/B 3.4, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 0.8%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OEL from its 52-week high?
ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft trades at €234.00, about 5% below its 52-week high of €246.00 and 12% above the low of €209.44 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €69.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price €234.00, calculated fair value €69.10 (−70%), Quality Score 51/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OEL calculated?
We run ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft through 12 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €69.10 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 27, 2026 and stands at €234.00. Our model-based fair value is €69.10, about 70% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€79.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft
How large is the market capitalisation of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
The market capitalisation of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft is €175M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft is 0.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
Earnings per share at ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft are €1.23 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 190.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
The dividend yield of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft is 5.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
The net margin of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft is 0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
The operating margin of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
Revenue at ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft is growing −13.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL)?
Earnings per share at ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft are growing +396% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL) generate?
The free cash flow of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft is −€18.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft (OEL) carry?
The net debt of ADM Hamburg Aktiengesellschaft is €18.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 8, 2026