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Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. stock $12.06, price $11.17, upside +8.0%, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

PP Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

Public Policy Holding Company, Inc.

PPHC · US
Low Priority

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Generates free cash flow
3.2% dividend yield · Cash covered
Fair value $12.06 · Fairly valued
Quality 44/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.7 %/yr in USD)
Moderate debt
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Insiders bought $10 (6M) · sold $187,800
Loss-making · -18.9% net margin (TTM) · excl. goodwill write-downs -14.3%
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$14.61 $7.32 Fair Value $12.06 Jan 2026 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

9‑month range $7.32 – $14.61 · fair‑value band $7.23 – $20.84 · the $11.17 price screens below the $12.06 fair value. As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. engages in the provision of consulting services in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Government Relations Consulting, Corporate Communications & Public Affairs Consulting Services, and Compliance and Insights Services.

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The Government Relations Consulting segment offers federal and state advocacy, strategic guidance, political intelligence, and issue monitoring services.

The Corporate Communications & Public Affairs Consulting Services segment provides crisis communications, financial communications and investor relations, litigation support, community relations, social and digital media, public opinion research, branding and messaging, and relationship marketing.

The Compliance and Insights Services segment offers lobbying compliance services and legislative tracking. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Washington, District Of Columbia.

Stock analysis

Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC) currently trades at $11.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.06, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.4%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $15.55 per share, and 5 of the 6 models we run sit above the $11.17 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $9.06, and 1 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $7.23 (bear) to $20.84 (bull), the price of $11.17 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $187M in FY2025 versus $97.6M in FY2021, a compound +17.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$39.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $279M Micro · P/S ratio 1.47 · EPS (TTM) $−1.99 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin −18.9% · Return on equity −39.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −4.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at 8%, PPHC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $7.23 Fair Value $12.06 Bull $20.84
Price $11.17 · Upside +8.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $9.98 $14.14 $26.24 78
Growth DCF $9.31 $14.79 $24.52 77
5Y Revenue Exit $8.21 $14.19 $26.39 69
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.98 $14.14 $26.24 78
5Y Revenue Exit $8.21 $14.19 $26.39 69
10Y Revenue Exit $8.51 $17.20 $23.26 66
Multiples
EV/Revenue $5.86 $9.06 $12.26 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.31 $14.79 $24.52 77
Rev-Margin DCF $8.21 $16.31 $29.82 69

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 17
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 71
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 38
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 74
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 37
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 34
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $10, on Jun 2, 2026. Over the same period, 6 people sold shares worth $187,800.

  • SaleThomas Edward GensemerChief Strategy Officer3× since Jan 27, 2026: 5,812 shares, avg. $11.33$65,867Aug 24, 2026
  • SaleRonald J. Starzman Jr.EVP, Human Resources3× since Jan 27, 2026: 5,497 shares, avg. $11.14$61,261Aug 24, 2026
  • SaleRoeland Jozef Bernard SmitsChief Financial Officer, Director2× since Jan 27, 2026: 10,454 shares, avg. $12.02$125,707Aug 24, 2026
  • SaleNeal Howard StrumChief Legal Officer3× since Jan 27, 2026: 10,313 shares, avg. $11.51$118,748Aug 24, 2026
  • SaleKeenan Nealean AustinDirector3× since Jan 27, 2026: 7,266 shares, avg. $11.42$83,002Aug 24, 2026
  • SaleGeorge Stewart HallChief Executive Officer, Director2× since Jan 27, 2026: 28,600 shares, avg. $12.16$347,866Jun 11, 2026
  • SaleJohnson McCallum GreenChief Client Officer2× since Jan 27, 2026: 64,173 shares, avg. $12.15$779,984Jun 11, 2026
  • BuyMatthew Ross MazzantiChief Administrative Officer1 shares at $10.41$10Jun 2, 2026
  • SaleZachary Wayne WilliamsDirector39,032 shares at $12.25$478,142Jan 27, 2026
  • SaleJill Agnes Gillespie KendrickChief Operating Officer2,258 shares at $12.25$27,661Jan 27, 2026

Plus 16 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.5% (2020) → −10.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.6% a year for the price and +7.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+15.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+9.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+8.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+7.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+6.9%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consulting Services · 74 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +8.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −19.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −18.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −4.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 7.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.51× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Consulting Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.72× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 1.39× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 11.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.46× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)44 · sector 44
FUTURE (revenue growth)37 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)75 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)64 · sector 63

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Consulting Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding BAH $85.35 $159.98 +87% vs PPHC
ICF International, Inc ICFI $79.68 $99.21 +25% vs PPHC
Huron Consulting Group HURN $166.82 $183.50 +10% vs PPHC
Bureau Veritas SA BVI €29.95 €27.88 −7% vs PPHC
FTI Consulting, Inc FCN $195.71 $182.15 −7% vs PPHC
DKSH Holding DKSH CHF 77.30 CHF 65.52 −15% vs PPHC
Verisk Analytics, Inc VRSK $204.59 $148.69 −27% vs PPHC
SGS SA SGSN CHF 102.25 CHF 70.45 −31% vs PPHC
Equifax Inc EFX $189.59 $109.01 −43% vs PPHC
ALS Limited ALQ A$20.80 A$11.18 −46% vs PPHC

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Frequently asked questions

Is Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.06 versus a price of $11.17, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of PPHC?
Our model-based fair value for Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. is $12.06 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.17.
What is the quality score of PPHC?
Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.06 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.23, optimistic scenario $20.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.06, about +8% upside versus a price of $11.17 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $7.23, optimistic scenario $20.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $201M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. Common Stock pay a dividend?
Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 3.20% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. pays a dividend of $0.357 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 25, 2026. Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.30 times. Our assessment: Cash covered. The dividend is fully funded by free cash flow. The payout ratio on earnings is not available for this company.
What growth is priced into Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +7.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.7 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of PPHC use?
Our models discount Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. that is +7.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. grew +17.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +7.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (+7.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.88 %: that much free cash flow Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. it is $12.06 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $11.17. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF).
Is Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, PPHC trades below its calculated fair value: price $11.17, fair value $12.06, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of PPHC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.06). For Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. the two are $0.8915 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. at about $279M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $11.17; our models calculate a fair value of $12.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about PPHC?
Our models span a range for Public Policy Holding Company, Inc.: cautious scenario $7.23, base $12.06, optimistic $20.84 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $11.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of PPHC?
The PEG ratio of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. is 0.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −39.5%, debt of 0.51 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Verisk Analytics, Inc, SGS SA, Equifax Inc, Bureau Veritas SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $11.17, calculated fair value $12.06 (+8%), Quality Score 44/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of PPHC calculated?
We run Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. through 6 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $12.06 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. currently trades 7% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $11.17. Our model-based fair value is $12.06, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. Common Stock right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($7.23 to $20.84). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
The market capitalisation of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. is $279M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. is 1.47 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
Earnings per share at Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. are $−1.99. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
The dividend yield of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. is 3.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
The net margin of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. is −18.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. is −39.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. is −7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
The operating margin of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. is −4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC)?
Revenue at Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. is growing +7.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC) carry?
The net debt of Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. is $48.1M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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