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Data-driven stock valuation

Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Redelfi S.p.A. stock €4.51, price €11.40, that is 60.4% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities IT · ISIN IT0005496101

RS Redelfi S.p.A. logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Redelfi S.p.A.

RDF · MI
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 60% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 93.1% net margin (FY2024)
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +63.2 %/yr in EUR)
Moderate debt
Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
Moderate moat 62/100 · thin data
Revenue last quarter 15% below a year ago.
Fair value €4.51 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 29/100
Negative free cash flow
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€13.12 €0.6781 Fair Value €4.51 Jun 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range €0.6781 – €13.12 · fair‑value band €3.38 – €5.64 · the €11.40 price screens above the €4.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Redelfi S.p.A. operates as an ESG management company worldwide. It engages in the management of mini hydroelectric and photovoltaic plants; battery development energy storage system park; Sub-holding equity investments; reforestation; accumulates and sells power.

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The company is also involved in the provision of consulting services related to the development of software. Redelfi S.p.A. was founded in 2008 and is based in Genoa, Italy.

Stock analysis

Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF) currently trades at €11.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.51, 60% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €10.72 per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the €11.40 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €2.55, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €3.38 (bear) to €5.64 (bull), the price of €11.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Redelfi S.p.A. reported revenue of €3.1M in FY2024 versus €716K in FY2021, a compound +63.2%/yr. Reported net income was €2.9M in FY2024, compounding −5.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €126M Micro · P/E ratio 17.3 · P/S ratio 16.1 · EPS (TTM) €0.6600 · Net margin 93.1% · Return on equity 17.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% (4-year average) · Operating margin 1,574%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −60%, RDF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €3.38 Fair Value €4.51 Bull €5.64
Price €11.40 · Downside -60.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.6600 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV €2.00 €2.40 €2.72 71
ROIC Compounder €2.32 €3.42 €4.19 69
Residual Income €1.43 €1.67 €2.27 68
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.72 €11.99 €16.83 60
Lynch FV €5.63 €8.05 €10.46 58
PEG = 1.0 €5.63 €8.05 €10.46 55
EPV €2.00 €2.40 €2.72 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple €3.98 €5.31 €6.64 63
P/S Multiple €0.4100 €0.5400 €0.6800 58
P/B Multiple €0.2000 €0.2600 €0.3300 55
EV/EBIT €6.65 €9.53 €12.41 65
EV/EBITDA €6.00 €8.66 €11.32 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.0300 €0.0400 €0.0600 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.43 €1.67 €2.27 68
ROIC Compounder €2.32 €3.42 €4.19 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €7.50 €10.72 €13.94 65

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 45
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 26
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 43
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 78
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 43
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 42
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+63.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−144% → 249%

RDF screens overvalued: fair value 60% below the price. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 196 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −60.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 17.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 93.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −15.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.34× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 17.3× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 15
PAST (return on equity)71 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)33 · sector 70
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
BEP BEP $31.14 $72.13 +132% vs RDF
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥29.91 ¥32.21 +8% vs RDF
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥15.81 ¥17.01 +8% vs RDF
VERBUND AG VER €72.70 €66.45 −9% vs RDF
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.19 €11.12 −52% vs RDF
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥10.97 ¥4.45 −59% vs RDF
Public Power Corporation PPC €23.14 €6.43 −72% vs RDF
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €14.49 €3.67 −75% vs RDF
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 148.70 kr 33.25 −78% vs RDF
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,424 ₹170.50 −88% vs RDF

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Redelfi S.p.A.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Redelfi S.p.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RDF

Frequently asked questions

Is Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.51 versus a price of €11.40, about 60% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RDF?
Our model-based fair value for Redelfi S.p.A. is €4.51 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €11.40.
What is the quality score of RDF?
Redelfi S.p.A. has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €4.51 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.38, optimistic scenario €5.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Redelfi S.p.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €4.51, about 60% lower versus a price of €11.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €3.38, optimistic scenario €5.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Redelfi S.p.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.6M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Redelfi S.p.A. it is €4.51 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of €11.40. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Redelfi S.p.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, RDF trades above its calculated fair value: price €11.40, fair value €4.51, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RDF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€11.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€4.51). For Redelfi S.p.A. the two are €6.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Redelfi S.p.A. worth?
The market values Redelfi S.p.A. at about €126M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is €11.40; our models calculate a fair value of €4.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RDF?
Our models span a range for Redelfi S.p.A.: cautious scenario €3.38, base €4.51, optimistic €5.64 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price €11.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RDF?
Redelfi S.p.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.3 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €4.51 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Redelfi S.p.A. (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 17.8%, debt of 1.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RDF from its 52-week high?
Redelfi S.p.A. trades at €11.40, about 13% below its 52-week high of €13.12 and 13% above the low of €10.08 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €4.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Redelfi S.p.A.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, VERBUND AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Redelfi S.p.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price €11.40, calculated fair value €4.51 (−60%), Quality Score 29/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RDF calculated?
We run Redelfi S.p.A. through 13 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €4.51 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Redelfi S.p.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €11.40. Our model-based fair value is €4.51, about 60% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Redelfi S.p.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€5.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Redelfi S.p.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
The market capitalisation of Redelfi S.p.A. is €126M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Redelfi S.p.A. is 16.1 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Earnings per share at Redelfi S.p.A. are €0.6600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
The net margin of Redelfi S.p.A. is 93.1% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Redelfi S.p.A. is 17.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Redelfi S.p.A. is 6.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
The operating margin of Redelfi S.p.A. is 1,574% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Revenue at Redelfi S.p.A. is growing −15.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +63.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Earnings per share at Redelfi S.p.A. are growing +108% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF) generate?
The free cash flow of Redelfi S.p.A. is −€13.0M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF) carry?
The net debt of Redelfi S.p.A. is €22.8M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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