Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Redelfi S.p.A. €4.51, price €11.56, upside -61.0%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range €0.6781 – €13.12 · fair‑value band €3.38 – €5.64 · the €11.56 price screens above the €4.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Redelfi S.p.A. operates as an ESG management company worldwide. It engages in the management of mini hydroelectric and photovoltaic plants; battery development energy storage system park; Sub-holding equity investments; reforestation; accumulates and sells power.
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Redelfi S.p.A. operates as an ESG management company worldwide. It engages in the management of mini hydroelectric and photovoltaic plants; battery development energy storage system park; Sub-holding equity investments; reforestation; accumulates and sells power. The company is also involved in the provision of consulting services related to the development of software. Redelfi S.p.A. was founded in 2008 and is based in Genoa, Italy.
Stock analysis
Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF) currently trades at €11.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.51, implying the stock looks roughly 156.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €10.72 per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the €11.56 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.07, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €3.38 (bear) to €5.64 (bull), the price of €11.56 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Redelfi S.p.A. reported revenue of €3.1M in FY2024 versus €716K in FY2021, a compound +63.2%/yr. Reported net income was €2.9M in FY2024, compounding −5.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €124M · P/E ratio 25.1 · P/S ratio 23.4 · EPS (TTM) €0.4600 · Net margin 93.1% · Return on equity 21.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% · Operating margin 446%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −61%, RDF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €3.38Fair Value €4.51Bull €5.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.4600 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+63.2%
’21
’22
’23
’24
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−144% → 249%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 208 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−62% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Return on assets10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)93% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−43% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.34× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)25.1× · Pricier than median
P/B7.67× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)75.15× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA10.3× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)87· sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)33· sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 47
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Redelfi S.p.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RDF
Frequently asked questions
Is Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.51 versus a price of €11.56, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RDF?
Our model-based fair value for Redelfi S.p.A. is €4.51 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €11.56.
What is the quality score of RDF?
Redelfi S.p.A. has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €4.51 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.38, optimistic scenario €5.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Redelfi S.p.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €4.51, about −61% upside versus a price of €11.56 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €3.38, optimistic scenario €5.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Redelfi S.p.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Redelfi S.p.A. it is €4.51 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €11.56. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Redelfi S.p.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, RDF trades above its calculated fair value: price €11.56, fair value €4.51, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RDF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€11.56); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€4.51). For Redelfi S.p.A. the two are €7.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Redelfi S.p.A. worth?
The market values Redelfi S.p.A. at about €124M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €11.56; our models calculate a fair value of €4.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RDF?
Our models span a range for Redelfi S.p.A.: cautious scenario €3.38, base €4.51, optimistic €5.64 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €11.56). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RDF?
Redelfi S.p.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €4.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.7, P/S 75.1, EV/EBITDA 10.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Redelfi S.p.A. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 21.8%, debt of 1.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RDF from its 52-week high?
Redelfi S.p.A. trades at €11.56, about 12% below its 52-week high of €13.12 and 51% above the low of €7.68 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €4.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Redelfi S.p.A.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Redelfi S.p.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €11.56, calculated fair value €4.51 (−61%), Quality Score 30/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RDF calculated?
We run Redelfi S.p.A. through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €4.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Redelfi S.p.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €11.56. Our model-based fair value is €4.51, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Redelfi S.p.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€5.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Redelfi S.p.A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
The market capitalisation of Redelfi S.p.A. is €124M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Redelfi S.p.A. is 23.4 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Earnings per share at Redelfi S.p.A. are €0.4600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
The net margin of Redelfi S.p.A. is 93.1% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Redelfi S.p.A. is 21.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Redelfi S.p.A. is 6.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
The operating margin of Redelfi S.p.A. is 446% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Revenue at Redelfi S.p.A. is growing −42.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +63.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF)?
Earnings per share at Redelfi S.p.A. are growing +108% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF) generate?
The free cash flow of Redelfi S.p.A. is −€13.0M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Redelfi S.p.A. (RDF) carry?
The net debt of Redelfi S.p.A. is €22.8M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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