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Talon Metals Corp (TLO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Talon Metals Corp stock C$5.37, price C$7.11, that is 24.5% below the price, quality 28 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials CA · ISIN VGG866591024

TM Talon Metals Corp logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Talon Metals Corp

TLO · TO
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 24% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +116.8 %/yr in CAD)
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin (TTM)
Fair value C$5.37 · Overvalued
Quality 28/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 25/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

C$11.20 C$0.7500 Fair Value C$5.37 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.7500 – C$11.20 · fair‑value band C$4.03 – C$6.71 · the C$7.11 price screens above the C$5.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Talon Metals Corp., a mineral exploration company, explores for and develops mineral properties in the United States. It explores for nickel, copper, and cobalt deposits.

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The company holds 51% interests in Tamarack project located in Minnesota, the United States; and acquires Eagle Mine and associated Humboldt Mill located in Michigan, USA. It also holds an option to acquire 80% interests in the mineral rights over a land package covering an area of approximately 400,000 acres located in the Upper Peninsula of the State of Michigan.

Talon Metals Corp. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Road Town, the British Virgin Islands.

Stock analysis

Talon Metals Corp (TLO) currently trades at C$7.11, while our estimate is C$5.37, 24% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: C$4.03 (bear) to C$6.71 (bull), the price of C$7.11 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Talon Metals Corp reported revenue of C$699K in FY2025 versus C$15.3K in FY2021, a compound +159.8%/yr. Reported net income was −C$5.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$1.2B (≈ $827M) Small · P/S ratio 12.0 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0100 · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 9.5% · Free cash flow −C$31.9M · Net cash C$16.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −24%, TLO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear C$4.03 Fair Value C$5.37 Bull C$6.71
Price C$7.11 · Downside -24.5%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 78
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 27
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 7
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 59
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 72
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 43/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+58.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+116.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +60.1% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−16,239.7% (2020) → −678.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TLO screens overvalued: fair value 24% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −24.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 0.9% · Above median
Return on assets −1.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 9.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.97× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 11.92× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 62.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)1 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs TLO
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs TLO
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs TLO
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs TLO
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs TLO
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs TLO
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs TLO
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs TLO
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs TLO
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs TLO

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Talon Metals Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Talon Metals Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TLO

Frequently asked questions

Is Talon Metals Corp (TLO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is C$5.37 versus a price of C$7.11, about 24% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TLO?
Our estimate for Talon Metals Corp is C$5.37 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$7.11.
What is the quality score of TLO?
Talon Metals Corp has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Talon Metals Corp (TLO)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of C$5.37 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario C$4.03, optimistic scenario C$6.71. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Talon Metals Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at C$5.37, about 24% lower versus a price of C$7.11 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$4.03, optimistic scenario C$6.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Talon Metals Corp (TLO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Talon Metals Corp it is C$5.37 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of C$7.11.
Is Talon Metals Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, TLO trades above its calculated fair value: price C$7.11, fair value C$5.37, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TLO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$7.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$5.37). For Talon Metals Corp the two are C$1.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Talon Metals Corp worth?
The market values Talon Metals Corp at about C$1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is C$7.11; our models calculate a fair value of C$5.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TLO?
Our models span a range for Talon Metals Corp: cautious scenario C$4.03, base C$5.37, optimistic C$6.71 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price C$7.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Talon Metals Corp (TLO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Talon Metals Corp (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 0.9%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TLO from its 52-week high?
Talon Metals Corp trades at C$7.11, about 37% below its 52-week high of C$11.20 and 85% above the low of C$3.85 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$5.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Talon Metals Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Talon Metals Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price C$7.11, calculated fair value C$5.37 (−24%), Quality Score 28/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Talon Metals Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Talon Metals Corp (TLO)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was C$7.11. Our estimate is C$5.37, about 24% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Talon Metals Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$6.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Talon Metals Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Talon Metals Corp (TLO)?
The market capitalisation of Talon Metals Corp is C$1.2B (≈ $827M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Talon Metals Corp (TLO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Talon Metals Corp is 12.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Talon Metals Corp (TLO)?
Earnings per share at Talon Metals Corp are C$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Talon Metals Corp (TLO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Talon Metals Corp is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Talon Metals Corp (TLO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Talon Metals Corp is −2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Talon Metals Corp (TLO)?
The operating margin of Talon Metals Corp is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Talon Metals Corp (TLO) generate?
The free cash flow of Talon Metals Corp is −C$31.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Talon Metals Corp (TLO) hold?
Talon Metals Corp holds more cash than debt, C$16.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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