The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd stock A$0.19, price A$0.55, that is 65.5% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
33‑month range A$0.2300 – A$0.6450 · fair‑value band A$0.1400 – A$0.2600 · the A$0.5500 price screens above the A$0.1900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides investment and funds management services in Australia. It also offers services to wealth management advisors; and invests in financial services businesses, as well as merger and acquisition services.
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The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Limited was founded in 2021 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
Stock analysis
The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG) currently trades at A$0.5500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1900, 65% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$0.2150 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the A$0.5500 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0400, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.1400 (bear) to A$0.2600 (bull), the price of A$0.5500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd reported revenue of A$11.2M in FY2026 versus A$782K in FY2022, a compound +94.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$689K in FY2026, compounding +58.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$40.7M (≈ $28.0M) Micro · P/E ratio 55.0 · P/S ratio 3.64 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0100 · Net margin 8.0% · Return on equity 6.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 10.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −65%, WAG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.1400Fair Value A$0.1900BullA$0.2600
Price A$0.5500 · Downside -65.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0036 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+44.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+44.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 8%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.1% a year for the price.
Compare The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 587 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−65.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.8% · Below median
Return on assets4.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)8.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)10.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)8.4% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WAG
Frequently asked questions
Is The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1900 versus a price of A$0.5500, about 65% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WAG?
Our model-based fair value for The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd is A$0.1900 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.5500.
What is the quality score of WAG?
The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1900 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1400, optimistic scenario A$0.2600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1900, about 65% lower versus a price of A$0.5500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1400, optimistic scenario A$0.2600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$11.2M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +18.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +94.7 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WAG use?
Our models discount The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.78, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd that is +18.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd grew +94.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +18.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (+18.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.53 %: that much free cash flow The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd it is A$0.1900 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of A$0.5500. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, WAG trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.5500, fair value A$0.1900, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WAG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.5500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1900). For The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd the two are A$0.3600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd worth?
The market values The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd at about A$40.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is A$0.5500; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WAG?
Our models span a range for The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1400, base A$0.1900, optimistic A$0.2600 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price A$0.5500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WAG?
The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 55.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.1900 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 3.6, EV/EBITDA 30.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
Balance-sheet figures for The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 6.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WAG from its 52-week high?
The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd trades at A$0.5500, about 15% below its 52-week high of A$0.6450 and at the low of A$0.5500 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price A$0.5500, calculated fair value A$0.1900 (−65%), Quality Score 49/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WAG calculated?
We run The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd through 10 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.1900 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was A$0.5500. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1900, about 65% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (49/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.1400 to A$0.2600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
The market capitalisation of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd is A$40.7M (≈ $28.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd is 3.64 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
Earnings per share at The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd are A$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 55.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
The net margin of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd is 8.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
The operating margin of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
Revenue at The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd is growing +8.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG)?
Earnings per share at The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd are growing +9.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd (WAG) hold?
The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.6M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026