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The Australian Wealth Advisors Group (WAG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · AU · Market cap A$41.7M

TA The Australian Wealth Advisors Group WAG · AU
PriceA$0.5750
Fair ValueA$0.2200
Upside-61.7%
Quality66/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.1600 – A$0.2700 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +2.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 62% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

A$0.6450 A$0.2300 Fair Value A$0.2200 Feb 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

30‑month range A$0.2300 – A$0.6450 · fair‑value band A$0.1600 – A$0.2700 · the A$0.5750 price screens above the A$0.2200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

The Australian Wealth Advisors Group (WAG) currently trades at A$0.5750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2200, implying the stock looks roughly 61.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, The Australian Wealth Advisors Group generated revenue of A$10.7M at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue declined 10.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$3.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.1600 (bear case) to A$0.2700 (bull case); at A$0.5750, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -62%, WAG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.1100 A$0.1600 A$0.2200 72
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.1900 A$0.3100 A$0.5700 67
P/E Multiple A$0.1600 A$0.2200 A$0.2700 63
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit A$0.1800 A$0.3500 A$0.5900 38
10Y P/E Exit A$0.1500 A$0.3000 A$0.5500 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.0900 A$0.6000 A$0.8500 54
Lynch FV A$0.3100 A$0.4500 A$0.5800 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.1600 A$0.2200 A$0.2700 63
P/B Multiple A$0.1600 A$0.2200 A$0.2700 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0800 A$0.1100 A$0.1700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.1100 A$0.1600 A$0.2200 72
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.1900 A$0.3100 A$0.5700 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.1300 A$0.1300 A$0.1200 61

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (A$0.4500) versus Asset-Based (A$0.1100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$10.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.8%
Net margin 7.9%
Return on equity 6.7%
Free cash flow A$467K FY2025
P/E ratio 56.0
More key figures
Operating margin 11.3%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) -17.1%
Net cash A$3.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 85
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides investment and funds management services in Australia. It also offers services to wealth management advisors; and invests in financial services businesses, as well as merger and acquisition services.

Full company description

The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides investment and funds management services in Australia. It also offers services to wealth management advisors; and invests in financial services businesses, as well as merger and acquisition services. The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Limited was founded in 2021 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Australian Wealth Advisors Group reported revenue of A$11.1M in FY2025 versus A$782K in FY2022, a compound +142.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$948K in FY2025, compounding +105.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$11.1M
Latest YoY
+17.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+142.3%
Revenue +142.3%/yr
FY22 A$782K
FY23 A$8.1M
FY24 A$9.4M
FY25 A$11.1M
Net income +105.3%/yr
FY22 A$110K
FY23 A$193K
FY24 −A$259K
FY25 A$948K

WAG screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Australian Wealth Advisors Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WAG

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Above median
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Below median
Revenue growth -11% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 56.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.74× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 63.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 23.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 27 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Australian Wealth Advisors Group (WAG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2200 versus a price of A$0.5750, about −62% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WAG?
Our model-based fair value for The Australian Wealth Advisors Group is A$0.2200 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.5750.
What is the quality score of WAG?
The Australian Wealth Advisors Group has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group (WAG)?
The Australian Wealth Advisors Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$10.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WAG?
The net profit margin of The Australian Wealth Advisors Group is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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