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STOCK COMPARISON

Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co vs Alpha Hpa: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co (002379) and Alpha Hpa (A4N) compare, as of Oct 4, 2026.

As of Oct 4, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co as the more attractively valued of the two: Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co trades at ¥16.28 versus a fair value of ¥43.06 (+164.5%), while Alpha Hpa trades at A$0.63 versus A$0.06 (−90.5%).
Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co
002379.SHE · CNY · Materials
+164.5%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price¥16.28
Fair Value¥43.06
Quality67/100
Alpha Hpa
A4N.AU · AUD · Materials
−90.5%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$0.63
Fair ValueA$0.06
Quality30/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding CoAlpha Hpa
Valuation
8.6×P/E (TTM)n/a
7.0×Forward P/E (FY2027)n/a
148.1×Median P/E at FY-end (6 FY, reported earnings)n/a
n/aP/B1.48×
n/aPEG3.55×
+164.5%Fair value upside−90.5%
1.5%Dividend yieldn/a
¥0.25Dividend per sharen/a
Profitability
24.1%Operating marginn/a
84.1%Return on equity-13.5%
39.2%Return on assets-7.2%
Growth
21.2%Revenue growth (YoY)96.7%
253.8%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)259.0%
131.2%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)80.7%
Balance & size
16.4×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)n/a
0.32×Debt / equityn/a
n/aMarket cap$606M
healthyGrowth qualitymixed
Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 148.1.
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported.

Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co leads: 4 to 1 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Coof which business quality 67 · market factors 37 Alpha Hpaof which business quality 30 · market factors 29
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
78
0
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
100
66
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
61
7
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
77
93
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
31
0
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
56
31
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
35
33
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
19
20
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
44
0

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyShandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding CoPrice ¥16.28Alpha HpaPrice A$0.63
DCF Models+160.1%above the price¥42.35n/a
Earnings-Based+194.7%above the price¥47.98n/a
Dividend Discount−86.5%below the price¥2.20n/a
Multiples+27.7%above the price¥20.80n/a
Asset-Based−85.6%below the price¥2.34−69.6%below the priceA$0.19
Growth DCF+151.0%above the price¥40.87n/a
Economic Profit+37.4%above the price¥22.38n/a
Growth Earnings+262.6%above the price¥59.03n/a
Minimum−86.5%below the price¥2.20−69.6%below the priceA$0.19
Maximum+262.6%above the price¥59.03−69.6%below the priceA$0.19
Median+94.2%above the price¥31.62−69.6%below the priceA$0.19
Geometric mean+11.4%close to the price¥18.14−69.6%below the priceA$0.19

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co: 4 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Alpha Hpa: 1 of 1 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co
Price ¥16.28
Fair Value ¥43.06
Bear ¥21.13Bull ¥76.42
Alpha Hpa
Price A$0.63
Fair Value A$0.06
Bear A$0.03Bull A$0.07

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co · Materials

Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+164.5% · Top 25%

Alpha Hpa · Materials

Quality score30 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside−90.5% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Oct 4, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co as the more attractively valued of the two: Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co trades at ¥16.28 versus a fair value of ¥43.06 (+164.5%), while Alpha Hpa trades at A$0.63 versus A$0.06 (−90.5%).

Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co has the higher quality score (67/100).

Open Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.