Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding (002379) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 243B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +30.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 42% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥17.24 to ¥76.74). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.88 – ¥32.23 · fair‑value band ¥17.24 – ¥76.74 · the ¥18.86 price screens below the ¥26.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding (002379) currently trades at ¥18.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥26.70, implying the stock looks roughly 41.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding generated revenue of 158B CNY at a net margin of 12.5%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 75.1%. Net debt stands at 8.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥17.24 (bear case) to ¥76.74 (bull case); at ¥18.86, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at 42%, 002379 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥61.82) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of aluminum products in China and internationally.
Full company description
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of aluminum products in China and internationally. It offers electrolytic, liquid, recycled, and oxidized aluminum, as well as aluminum alloy, aluminum hydroxide, alumina, and deep-processed aluminum products. The company is also involved in trading; investment management; and logistics businesses. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited and changed its name to Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited in January 2026. Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Binzhou, China. Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Shandong Weiqiao Aluminum and Electricity Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding reported revenue of ¥156B in FY2025 versus ¥3.2B in FY2021, a compound +164.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥17.9B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Aluminum · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$24.54 | HK$45.53 | +86% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹955.80 | ₹1,026 | +7% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥8.11 | ¥12.58 | +55% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 84.96 | kr 58.10 | -32% |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 8.02 MYR | 3.88 MYR | -52% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$70.60 | A$49.53 | -30% |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥25.12 | ¥29.68 | +18% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥25.51 | ¥30.28 | +19% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥11.99 | ¥21.86 | +82% |
| Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co 600219 | ¥4.72 | ¥7.01 | +49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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