Winto Group (Holdings) vs Applovin: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Winto Group (Holdings) (8238) and Applovin (APP) compare, as of Aug 17, 2026.
As of Aug 17, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Applovin as the less overvalued of the two: Winto Group (Holdings) trades at HK$0.14 versus a fair value of HK$0.09 (-33%), while Applovin trades at $315 versus $252 (-20%).
Winto Group (Holdings)
8238.HK · HKD · Communication Services
-33%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceHK$0.14
Fair ValueHK$0.09
Quality54/100
Applovin
APP · USD · Information Technology
-20%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$315
Fair Value$252
Quality92/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Winto Group (Holdings)Applovin
Valuation
—P/E (TTM)45.3×
0.24×P/S (TTM)27.63×
—EV/EBITDA35.2×
—PEG1.43×
7.9%Dividend yield—
Profitability
-24%Net margin64%
-36%Operating margin78%
—Return on equity266%
-11%Return on assets44%
Growth
16%Revenue growth (YoY)59%
-7.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)24.8%
-1.9%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)30.4%
Balance & size
—Debt / equity1.65×
$6MMarket cap$170B
weakGrowth qualityhealthy
Applovin leads: 1 to 6 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Winto Group (Holdings)of which business quality 54 · market factors 11Applovinof which business quality 86 · market factors 9
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
28
91
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
80
98
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
100
81
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
0
0
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
21
19
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
8
0
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
100
98
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Winto Group (Holdings)
Dividend DiscountHK$0.12
2 of 2 models see the stock below the current price.
Applovin
DCF Models$383
Earnings-Based$382
Dividend Discount$0.17
Multiples$176
Asset-Based$4.68
Growth DCF$402
Economic Profit$155
Growth Earnings$551
13 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Winto Group (Holdings)
Bear HK$0.07Fair Value HK$0.09Bull HK$0.11
HK$0.14 = current price (white tick)
Applovin
Bear $176Fair Value $252Bull $601
$315 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Winto Group (Holdings) · Communication Services
Quality score54 · above median
Fair value upside-33% · below median
Applovin · Information Technology
Quality score92 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-20% · above median
Bottom line
As of Aug 17, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Applovin as the less overvalued of the two: Winto Group (Holdings) trades at HK$0.14 versus a fair value of HK$0.09 (-33%), while Applovin trades at $315 versus $252 (-20%).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
