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8238 (8238) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · Market cap HK$50.5M

8 8238 8238 · HK
PriceHK$0.1450
Fair ValueHK$0.1000
Upside-31.0%
Quality48/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0700 – HK$0.1200

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated today

Share price +2.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.4366 HK$0.1320 Fair Value HK$0.1000 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.1320 – HK$0.4366 · fair‑value band HK$0.0700 – HK$0.1200 · the HK$0.1450 price screens above the HK$0.1000 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8238 (8238) currently trades at HK$0.1450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1000 — implying the stock looks roughly 31.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 8238 generated revenue of HK$27.1M at a net margin of -24.3%. Revenue grew 15.9% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$1.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$27.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.9%
Net margin -24.3%
Return on equity -1,377%
Free cash flow −HK$10.2M FY2025
Operating margin -35.7%
More key figures
Net debt HK$1.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8238 reported revenue of HK$27.1M in FY2025 versus HK$61.1M in FY2021, a compound −18.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$6.6M in FY2025.

Revenue −18.4%/yr
FY21 HK$61.1M
FY22 HK$34.6M
FY23 HK$23.6M
FY24 HK$20.8M
FY25 HK$27.1M
Net income
FY21 HK$21.5M
FY22 HK$10.1M
FY23 −HK$73.7M
FY24 −HK$19.8M
FY25 −HK$6.6M

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Similar stocks

6 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $469.39 $253.58 -46%
Publicis Groupe S.A PGPEF $103.00 $167.37 +62%
Omnicom Group OMC $75.22 $147.93 +97%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.39 ¥4.08 -24%
The Trade Desk, Inc TT8 €15.65 €31.40 +101%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥16.02 ¥2.28 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8238 (8238) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1000 versus a price of HK$0.1450 — about −31% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 8238?
Our model-based fair value for 8238 is HK$0.1000 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1450.
What is the quality score of 8238?
8238 has a Quality Score of 48/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 8238 (8238)?
8238 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$27.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8238?
The net profit margin of 8238 is about -24.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.