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STOCK COMPARISON

Carvana vs Penske Automotive Group: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Carvana (CVNA) and Penske Automotive Group (PAG) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Penske Automotive Group as the more attractively valued of the two: Carvana trades at $68.34 versus a fair value of $20.89 (-69%), while Penske Automotive Group trades at $216 versus $242 (+12%).
Carvana
CVNA · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-69%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$68.34
Fair Value$20.89
Quality38/100
Penske Automotive Group
PAG · USD · Consumer Discretionary
+12%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price$216
Fair Value$242
Quality61/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

CarvanaPenske Automotive Group
Valuation
38.3×P/E (TTM)14.8×
3.21×P/S (TTM)0.42×
20.98×P/B2.40×
31.9×EV/EBITDA10.6×
—PEG2.59×
—Dividend yield2.0%
—Dividend per share$4.10
Profitability
6%Net margin3%
9%Operating margin4%
60%Return on equity16%
11%Return on assets4%
Growth
52%Revenue growth (YoY)-1%
14.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)4.6%
29.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)9.2%
Balance & size
1.40×Debt / equity0.33×
$72BMarket cap$13B
healthyGrowth qualitymixed

Carvana leads: 7 to 5 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Carvanaof which business quality 47 · market factors 20 Penske Automotive Groupof which business quality 53 · market factors 77
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
72
56
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
54
32
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
40
37
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
47
44
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
63
68
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
0
72
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
28
76
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
29
85
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
0
95

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Carvana

DCF Models$35.95
Earnings-Based$43.91
Dividend Discount$107
Multiples$22.05
Asset-Based$2.06
Growth DCF$26.96
Economic Profit$18.96
Growth Earnings$56.59

24 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Penske Automotive Group

DCF Models$236
Earnings-Based$126
Dividend Discount$92.01
Multiples$251
Asset-Based$56.68
Growth DCF$215
Economic Profit$144
Growth Earnings$216

13 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Carvana
Bear $10.50Fair Value $20.89Bull $25.80
$68.34 = current price (white tick)
Penske Automotive Group
Bear $133Fair Value $242Bull $302
$216 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score38 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-69% · bottom 25%

Penske Automotive Group · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score61 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+12% · above median

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Penske Automotive Group as the more attractively valued of the two: Carvana trades at $68.34 versus a fair value of $20.89 (-69%), while Penske Automotive Group trades at $216 versus $242 (+12%).

Penske Automotive Group has the higher quality score (61/100).

See the full analysis →
Carvana · Penske Automotive Group

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.