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Hainan Jingliang Holdings (000505) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 4.2B CNY

HJ Hainan Jingliang Holdings 000505 · SHE
Price¥5.78
Fair Value¥1.90
Upside-67.1%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -3.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.33 – ¥2.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +10.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 67% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥1.33 to ¥2.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥12.56 ¥4.76 Fair Value ¥1.90 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.76 – ¥12.56 · fair‑value band ¥1.33 – ¥2.46 · the ¥5.78 price screens above the ¥1.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Hainan Jingliang Holdings (000505) currently trades at ¥5.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.90, implying the stock looks roughly 67.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hainan Jingliang Holdings generated revenue of 7.4B CNY at a net margin of -3.7%. Revenue declined 20.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.0%. Net debt stands at 245M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.33 (bear case) to ¥2.46 (bull case); at ¥5.78, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -67%, 000505 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥14.21 ¥25.35 ¥43.30 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.57 ¥20.68 ¥37.69 74
EV/EBITDA ¥3.58 ¥4.15 ¥4.71 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥15.01 ¥22.10 ¥44.19 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥11.58 ¥18.31 ¥32.38 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.89 ¥8.84 ¥12.58 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥12.43 ¥24.17 ¥31.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.41 ¥14.30 ¥21.45 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥3.58 ¥4.15 ¥4.71 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.39 ¥12.61 ¥15.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.16 ¥2.90 ¥4.33 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥14.21 ¥25.35 ¥43.30 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.57 ¥20.68 ¥37.69 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥20.68) versus Asset-Based (¥2.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -20.3%
Net margin -3.7%
Return on equity -9.0%
Free cash flow 546M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 1.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.3800
EPS growth (YoY) -50.0%
Net debt 245M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 46
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hainan Jingliang Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in oils and oilseeds processing and trading, and food processing in China.

Full company description

Hainan Jingliang Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in oils and oilseeds processing and trading, and food processing in China. The Company processes, refines, and markets, raw oils, such as soybean oil, corn oil, sunflower seed oil, peanut oil, rapeseed oil, flaxseed oil, olive oil, and sesame oil and paste under the Gu Chuan, Lv Bao, Gu Bi, and Huo Niao brands. It also offers bsnack food and bakery products, such as chips, pastries and bread under the Xiao Wangzi, Dong Xiaojie, Jianqiang de Tudouzai, and Gu Chuan brands. In addition, the company offers organic, microbial, and agricultural fertilizers; land consolidation; soil remediation; agricultural planting development, animal husbandry, and aquaculture; agricultural equipment; computer network technology; warehousing; investment management; commercial services; and animation and graphic design services, as well as leases self-owned premises, and import and export trade in goods and technology. Furthur, it engages in investment in communication projects; research, development, and application of tech products; and investment and consultation of environmental protection. The company was formerly known as Hainan Pearl River Holding Company Limited in January 2000. Hainan Jingliang Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Haikou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hainan Jingliang Holdings reported revenue of ¥7.9B in FY2025 versus ¥11.8B in FY2021, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥266M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.9B CNY
Latest YoY
−31.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−15.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+16.2%
Revenue −9.6%/yr
FY21 ¥11.8B
FY22 ¥12.9B
FY23 ¥11.9B
FY24 ¥11.4B
FY25 ¥7.9B
Net income
FY21 ¥204M
FY22 ¥141M
FY23 ¥102M
FY24 ¥26.1M
FY25 −¥266M

000505 screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hainan Jingliang Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000505

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 90 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hainan Jingliang Holdings (000505) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.90 versus a price of ¥5.78, about −67% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000505?
Our model-based fair value for Hainan Jingliang Holdings is ¥1.90 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.78.
What is the quality score of 000505?
Hainan Jingliang Holdings has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hainan Jingliang Holdings (000505)?
Hainan Jingliang Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000505?
The net profit margin of Hainan Jingliang Holdings is about -3.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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