Anhui Gujing Distillery Co (000596) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 46.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026 — revised from ¥182.41 to ¥128.26 (−29.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −12.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range ¥79.23 – ¥178.06 · fair‑value band ¥74.43 – ¥180.43 · the ¥79.23 price screens below the ¥128.26 fair value. As of Jul 5, 2026.
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Anhui Gujing Distillery Co (000596) currently trades at ¥79.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥128.26 — implying the stock looks roughly 61.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Gujing Distillery Co generated revenue of 17.1B CNY at a net margin of 16.5%. Revenue declined 18.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 15.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥74.43 (bear case) to ¥180.43 (bull case); at ¥79.23, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside — at 62%, 000596 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of distilled wine in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company primarily offers baijiu; and engages in machinery production, advertising, research and development, sewage processing, e-commerce, food testing, and construction activities. It is also involved in the manufacture and sale of glass products; provision of hotel management services; leasing of houses; and wholesale of construction materials, feeds, assistant materials, etc. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Bozhou, the People's Republic of China. Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Anhui Gujing Group Co., Ltd.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co reported revenue of ¥18.8B in FY2025 versus ¥13.3B in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.5B in FY2025, compounding +11.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,273 | ¥800.18 | -37% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥79.14 | ¥45.59 | -42% |
| Diageo plc DEO | $81.79 | $44.14 | -46% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥113.61 | ¥248.18 | +118% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥81.27 | ¥154.52 | +90% |
| Pernod Ricard SA PDRDF | $70.72 | $84.32 | +19% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $27.25 | $23.85 | -12% |
| United Spirits Limited MCDOWELLN | ₹1,338 | ₹456.75 | -66% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥41.25 | ¥25.43 | -38% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company TBVPF | $0.3358 | $0.5300 | +58% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.