CITIC Guoan Information Industry Co (000839) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 10.4B CNY

A solid business, but screening 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.6600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.80 – ¥4.12 · fair‑value band ¥0.4000 – ¥0.6600 · the ¥2.91 price screens above the ¥0.5300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

CITIC Guoan Information Industry Co (000839) currently trades at ¥2.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5300, implying the stock looks roughly 81.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, CITIC Guoan Information Industry Co generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue grew 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. Net debt stands at 202M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4000 (bear case) to ¥0.6600 (bull case); at ¥2.91, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -82%, 000839 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥0.6800) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.1300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

CITIC Guoan Information Industry Co., Ltd. engages in comprehensive enterprise information service, cable television network, real estate development, and other business in China. The company operates through Enterprise Comprehensive Information Service Business, Real Estate Business, and Other Operations segments.

Full company description

CITIC Guoan Information Industry Co., Ltd. engages in comprehensive enterprise information service, cable television network, real estate development, and other business in China. The company operates through Enterprise Comprehensive Information Service Business, Real Estate Business, and Other Operations segments. It is involved in operation and management of cable TV projects; and provides basic TV program services, video-on-demand, high-definition video, and cable broadband and other value-added services; and software research and development. The company offers business process solutions, such as customer contact center, enterprise information communication, and cloud communication solutions; messaging platform; and 5G message communication system. In addition, it engages in real estate development business, which include residential and office buildings, hotels, and tourism projects. Further, the company engages in data review and labeling business, business operation process outsourcing, and information outsourcing services. CITIC Guoan Information Industry Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CITIC Guoan Information Industry Co reported revenue of ¥3.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥94.2M in FY2025.

000839 screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

Peer Group

Entertainment · 267 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.