Xinjiang Lixin Energy Co (001258) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 7.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥1.64 to ¥1.55 (−5.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +95.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range ¥4.77 – ¥17.96 · fair‑value band ¥1.16 – ¥1.94 · the ¥13.16 price screens above the ¥1.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Xinjiang Lixin Energy Co (001258) currently trades at ¥13.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.55, implying the stock looks roughly 88.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xinjiang Lixin Energy Co generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 22.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. Net debt stands at 8.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.16 (bear case) to ¥1.94 (bull case); at ¥13.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -88%, 001258 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥2.22) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.7800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xinjiang Lixin Energy Co., LTD. develops and converts renewable energy into electricity in the People's Republic of China. The company offers wind power generation, photovoltaic power generation, and energy storage power station. It also provides technical consulting services, and electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing services.
Full company description
Xinjiang Lixin Energy Co., LTD. develops and converts renewable energy into electricity in the People's Republic of China. The company offers wind power generation, photovoltaic power generation, and energy storage power station. It also provides technical consulting services, and electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing services. In addition, the company involved in investment and technology development of wind and solar new energy electricity; and asset management. Xinjiang Lixin Energy Co., LTD. was founded in 2013 and is based in Xinjiang, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xinjiang Lixin Energy Co reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥808M in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥85.1M in FY2025, compounding −12.1%/yr from FY2021.
001258 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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