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Yifan Pharmaceutical Co (002019) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 12.1B CNY

YP Yifan Pharmaceutical Co 002019 · SHE
Price¥10.34
Fair Value¥6.89
Upside-33.4%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.99% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥4.96 – ¥8.95 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +5.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥4.96 to ¥8.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.72 ¥9.17 Fair Value ¥6.89 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.17 – ¥21.72 · fair‑value band ¥4.96 – ¥8.95 · the ¥10.34 price screens above the ¥6.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Yifan Pharmaceutical Co (002019) currently trades at ¥10.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.89, implying the stock looks roughly 33.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yifan Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of 5.1B CNY at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at 1.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.96 (bear case) to ¥8.95 (bull case); at ¥10.34, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -33%, 002019 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.50 ¥5.51 ¥5.13 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.91 ¥4.58 ¥5.16 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.82 ¥6.89 ¥8.95 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥2.00 ¥3.88 ¥7.28 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.25 ¥11.43 ¥15.78 54
Lynch FV ¥3.11 ¥4.44 ¥5.77 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.11 ¥4.44 ¥5.77 46
EPV ¥3.91 ¥4.58 ¥5.16 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.45 ¥7.27 ¥9.09 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.21 ¥5.62 ¥7.02 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.21 ¥5.62 ¥7.02 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.95 ¥7.96 ¥9.98 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.89 ¥10.55 ¥13.22 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.21 ¥6.07 ¥7.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.63 ¥4.87 ¥7.26 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.50 ¥5.51 ¥5.13 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.91 ¥4.58 ¥5.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.82 ¥6.89 ¥8.95 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥6.89) versus DCF Models (¥3.88). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.4%
Net margin 7.0%
Return on equity 3.8%
Free cash flow −101M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 34.4
More key figures
Operating margin 11.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2900
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -30.3%
Net debt 1.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yifan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of pharmaceutical products, vitamins, and polymer materials in China, South Korea, the Philippines, Vietnam, Italy, Thailand, and internationally.

Full company description

Yifan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of pharmaceutical products, vitamins, and polymer materials in China, South Korea, the Philippines, Vietnam, Italy, Thailand, and internationally. It offers pharmaceutical products, such as biopharmaceuticals, chemical drugs, and traditional Chinese medicines; vitamin products, including vitamin B5 and provitamin B5; and active pharmaceutical ingredients. The company was formerly known as Yifan Xinfu Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Yifan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. in October 2016. Yifan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yifan Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of ¥5.1B in FY2025 versus ¥4.4B in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥402M in FY2025, compounding +9.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 16/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.1B CNY
Latest YoY
−0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+18.3%
Revenue +3.9%/yr
FY21 ¥4.4B
FY22 ¥3.8B
FY23 ¥4.1B
FY24 ¥5.2B
FY25 ¥5.1B
Net income +9.6%/yr
FY21 ¥278M
FY22 ¥191M
FY23 −¥551M
FY24 ¥386M
FY25 ¥402M

002019 screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Eli Lilly and Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yifan Pharmaceutical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002019

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - General · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Below median
Fair Value upside −33% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Below median
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.10× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.37× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.40× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 16.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 15 · sector 50
HEALTH 95 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,182 $396.77 -66%
Johnson & Johnson, JNJ $257.59 $169.04 -34%
AbbVie Inc ABBV $254.49 $67.72 -73%
Roche Holding 1RO €392.80 €226.68 -42%
Merck & Co MRK €108.08 €121.54 +12%
Novartis AG NVSN 2,742 MXN 2,379 MXN -13%
AstraZeneca PLC AZN $171.61 $129.54 -25%
Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB kr 329.90 kr 409.46 +24%
Amgen Inc AMGN $363.39 $252.02 -31%
Sanofi SNYN 770.00 MXN 1,251 MXN +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yifan Pharmaceutical Co (002019) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.89 versus a price of ¥10.34, about −33% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002019?
Our model-based fair value for Yifan Pharmaceutical Co is ¥6.89 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.34.
What is the quality score of 002019?
Yifan Pharmaceutical Co has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yifan Pharmaceutical Co (002019)?
Yifan Pharmaceutical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002019?
The net profit margin of Yifan Pharmaceutical Co is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yifan Pharmaceutical Co pay a dividend?
Yifan Pharmaceutical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.99% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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