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Daan Gene Co (002030) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 7.5B CNY

DG Daan Gene Co 002030 · SHE
Price¥5.61
Fair Value¥0.5300
Upside-90.6%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -121.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.5300 – ¥0.5400 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥1.26 to ¥0.5300 (−57.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +12.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 91% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.5400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (¥0.5300 to ¥0.5400), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥19.52 ¥4.77 Fair Value ¥0.5300 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.77 – ¥19.52 · fair‑value band ¥0.5300 – ¥0.5400 · the ¥5.61 price screens above the ¥0.5300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Daan Gene Co (002030) currently trades at ¥5.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5300, implying the stock looks roughly 90.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 738M CNY. Revenue declined 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 715M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.5300 (bear case) to ¥0.5400 (bull case); at ¥5.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -91%, 002030 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.10 ¥1.80 ¥2.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.9600 ¥1.43 ¥2.08 74
EV/EBITDA ¥0.3800 ¥0.3900 ¥0.3900 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.12 ¥1.77 ¥3.18 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.9600 ¥1.45 ¥2.13 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.6100 ¥0.6800 ¥0.7500 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.9900 ¥1.48 ¥2.28 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.7800 ¥0.9100 ¥1.08 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.3800 ¥0.3900 ¥0.3900 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.8800 ¥1.11 ¥1.33 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.54 ¥3.41 ¥5.09 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.10 ¥1.80 ¥2.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.9600 ¥1.43 ¥2.08 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.41) versus Multiples (¥0.3900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 738M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.6%
Net margin -121%
Return on equity -12.0%
Free cash flow 80.5M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -22.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.6400
EPS growth (YoY) -80.5%
Net cash 715M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Daan Gene Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, researches and develops, manufactures, and sells clinical test reagents, instruments, and supporting consumables in China. It operates through two segments, Biological Products and Related Business and Financial Business.

Full company description

Daan Gene Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, researches and develops, manufactures, and sells clinical test reagents, instruments, and supporting consumables in China. It operates through two segments, Biological Products and Related Business and Financial Business. The company offers reagents for hepatitis virus, sexually transmitted infections, blood screening, digestive pathogens, coronavirus disease (COVID-19), pharmacogenomics, viral transport medium, human papillomavirus, human immunodeficiency virus, respiratory infections, public health, tumor maker, and nucleic acid extraction, as well as polymerase chain reaction, sample preparation, and nucleic extraction systems for molecular diagnosis; COVID-19 rapid test kit and chemiluminescence immunoassay analyzers for immunoassay; liquid based cytology production and automatic sample transfer machines for pathology tests; and auto biochemistry analyzers and chemistry reagents for clinical chemistry. It also provides medical laboratory and health consultation services, such as genetic susceptibility gene testing, tumor marker testing, cervical cancer screening, routine physical examination, and other health services. The company sells its products under the Daan Gene, Darui Biology, LBP, and Zhongshan Bio-Tech brands. In addition, it is involved in biological technology, biomedicine and biopharmaceutical, clinical test, business, software development, trading, hospital investment management, capital market, insurance agent, management, finance lease, microfinance, commercial factoring, loan, consulting, and technology promotion and application service industry services. The company was formerly known as Da An Gene Co., Ltd. of Sun Yat-Sen University. Daan Gene Co., Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Daan Gene Co reported revenue of ¥758M in FY2025 versus ¥7.7B in FY2021, a compound −43.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥744M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 17/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
758M CNY
Latest YoY
−11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−60.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−32.3%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+10.3%
Revenue −43.9%/yr
FY21 ¥7.7B
FY22 ¥12.0B
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥853M
FY25 ¥758M
Net income
FY21 ¥3.6B
FY22 ¥5.4B
FY23 ¥105M
FY24 −¥925M
FY25 −¥744M

002030 screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daan Gene Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002030

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside −91% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -121% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -12% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.16× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.51× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 13.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Daan Gene Co (002030) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.5300 versus a price of ¥5.61, about −91% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002030?
Our model-based fair value for Daan Gene Co is ¥0.5300 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.61.
What is the quality score of 002030?
Daan Gene Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Daan Gene Co (002030)?
Daan Gene Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 738M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002030?
The net profit margin of Daan Gene Co is about -121.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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