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Gotion High-tech Co (002074) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 48.8B CNY

GH Gotion High-tech Co 002074 · SHE
Price¥27.69
Fair Value¥22.33
Upside-19.4%
Quality35/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.8% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
0.38% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥16.74 – ¥27.91 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from ¥27.59 to ¥22.33 (−19.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +8.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Our model range runs from ¥16.74 (bear) to ¥27.91 (bull), base ¥22.33. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 35/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥65.57 ¥16.53 Fair Value ¥22.33 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥16.53 – ¥65.57 · fair‑value band ¥16.74 – ¥27.91 · the ¥27.69 price screens above the ¥22.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Gotion High-tech Co (002074) currently trades at ¥27.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥22.33, implying the stock looks roughly 19.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Gotion High-tech Co generated revenue of 47.7B CNY at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 29.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at 22.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥16.74 (bear case) to ¥27.91 (bull case); at ¥27.69, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -19%, 002074 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥13.54 ¥14.60 ¥16.92 76
ROIC Compounder ¥12.60 ¥14.98 ¥18.90 72
Gordon GGM ¥8.29 ¥17.23 ¥27.33 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥8.93 ¥62.28 ¥87.40 54
Lynch FV ¥30.66 ¥43.80 ¥56.94 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥30.66 ¥43.80 ¥56.94 46
EPV ¥12.60 ¥14.98 ¥17.07 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥8.29 ¥17.23 ¥27.33 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥8.29 ¥14.53 ¥18.08 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥20.68 ¥27.58 ¥34.47 63
P/S Multiple ¥16.74 ¥22.33 ¥27.91 58
P/B Multiple ¥16.74 ¥22.33 ¥27.91 55
EV/EBIT ¥19.56 ¥26.64 ¥33.72 53
EV/EBITDA ¥33.25 ¥44.89 ¥56.53 54
EV/Revenue ¥13.48 ¥19.98 ¥26.48 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥8.02 ¥10.75 ¥16.05 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥13.54 ¥14.60 ¥16.92 76
ROIC Compounder ¥12.60 ¥14.98 ¥18.90 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥40.47 ¥57.81 ¥75.15 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥57.81) versus Asset-Based (¥10.75). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 47.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +29.3%
Net margin 4.8%
Return on equity 6.6%
Free cash flow −6.5B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 21.2
More key figures
Operating margin 5.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.27
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -83.3%
Net debt 22.7B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 21
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gotion High-tech Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and marketing of power battery systems, energy storage battery systems, and power transmission and distribution equipment in China and internationally.

Full company description

Gotion High-tech Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and marketing of power battery systems, energy storage battery systems, and power transmission and distribution equipment in China and internationally. The company provides lithium iron phosphate and nickel-cobalt-manganese materials and cells, power battery packs, battery packs for energy storage systems, and battery management systems electric commercial vehicles, passenger vehicles, special vehicles, and hybrid vehicles. It also offers energy storage cells, standardized battery boxes, as well as integrated energy storage battery cabinets and system solutions. In addition, the company offers power transmission and distribution equipment, including high and low voltage switchgear, electrical digital equipment, smart distribution network equipment, transformers, circuit breakers, integrated charging piles, and energy storage cabinets used in thermal power, hydropower, nuclear power, wind power, rail transit, and metallurgy, chemical engineering. Gotion High-tech Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gotion High-tech Co reported revenue of ¥45.1B in FY2025 versus ¥10.4B in FY2021, a compound +44.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.4B in FY2025, compounding +120.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
45.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+27.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+25.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+46.3%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+29.3%
Revenue +44.4%/yr
FY21 ¥10.4B
FY22 ¥23.1B
FY23 ¥31.6B
FY24 ¥35.4B
FY25 ¥45.1B
Net income +120.0%/yr
FY21 ¥102M
FY22 ¥312M
FY23 ¥939M
FY24 ¥1.2B
FY25 ¥2.4B

002074 screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gotion High-tech Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002074

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 29% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.68× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.68× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.02× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 5.77× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 7 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 26 · sector 26
HEALTH 66 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 8 · sector 18

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gotion High-tech Co (002074) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥22.33 versus a price of ¥27.69, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002074?
Our model-based fair value for Gotion High-tech Co is ¥22.33 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥27.69.
What is the quality score of 002074?
Gotion High-tech Co has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gotion High-tech Co (002074)?
Gotion High-tech Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 47.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002074?
The net profit margin of Gotion High-tech Co is about 4.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Gotion High-tech Co pay a dividend?
Gotion High-tech Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.33% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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