Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Gotion High tech Co Ltd stock ¥27.58, price ¥24.90, upside +10.8%, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥16.53 – ¥65.57 · fair‑value band ¥20.68 – ¥34.47 · the ¥24.90 price screens below the ¥27.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Gotion High-tech Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and marketing of power battery systems, energy storage battery systems, and power transmission and distribution equipment in China and internationally.
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The company provides lithium iron phosphate and nickel-cobalt-manganese materials and cells, power battery packs, battery packs for energy storage systems, and battery management systems electric commercial vehicles, passenger vehicles, special vehicles, and hybrid vehicles.
It also offers energy storage cells, standardized battery boxes, as well as integrated energy storage battery cabinets and system solutions.
In addition, the company offers power transmission and distribution equipment, including high and low voltage switchgear, electrical digital equipment, smart distribution network equipment, transformers, circuit breakers, integrated charging piles, and energy storage cabinets used in thermal power, hydropower, nuclear power, wind power, rail transit, and metallurgy, chemical engineering.
Gotion High-tech Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.
Stock analysis
Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074) currently trades at ¥24.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥27.58, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥57.81 per share, and 7 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥24.90 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥8.16, and 9 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥20.68 (bear) to ¥34.47 (bull), the price of ¥24.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Gotion High tech Co Ltd reported revenue of 45.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 10.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +44.4%/yr. Reported net income was 2.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding +120.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 45.2B CNY (≈ $6.8B) Mid · P/E ratio 63.8 · P/S ratio 0.74 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3900 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 11%, 002074 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥20.68Fair Value ¥27.58Bull¥34.47
Price ¥24.90 · Upside +10.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2479 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+46.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +32.3% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
≈ +93.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +93.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 84.7% / 6.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 7%
2025 sits 148% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 0.061 per share, median 0.82 in 2015 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (17 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
AI conclusion: Pushing ahead with international capacity such as the Moroccan gigafactory and new heavy-truck battery packs forms the main strength, while negative free cash flow together with moderate margins and low returns on equity remains the central weakness.
Main risk: Dominance by CATL and BYD, holding over half the global EV battery market share, could force Gotion to cut prices on its cells and packs, compressing margins amid ongoing industry overcapacity.
Bull case: By advancing its solid-state battery programme and deepening the Volkswagen partnership for localised European production, Gotion could capture higher-margin orders and offset domestic pricing pressure through premium international volumes.
Bear case: If CATL and BYD maintain aggressive pricing while next-generation chemistries reach scale first, Gotion could see its market share erode, existing production assets underutilised and overseas projects stalled by funding constraints.
Gotion pushes ahead with international capacity, including a Moroccan gigafactory due to start soon and new integrated battery packs for heavy trucks. Yet analyst forecasts now see net income shrinking sharply next year while the sector is expected to expand. Will rising volumes from these projects lift results enough to reverse the earnings pressure, or will competition keep margins compressed?
Compare Gotion High tech Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 564 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+10.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.8% · Below median
Return on assets1.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)1.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)11.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)74.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.68× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gotion High tech Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002074
Frequently asked questions
Is Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥27.58 versus a price of ¥24.90, about +11% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002074?
Our model-based fair value for Gotion High tech Co Ltd is ¥27.58 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥24.90.
What is the quality score of 002074?
Gotion High tech Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥27.58 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥20.68, optimistic scenario ¥34.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gotion High tech Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥27.58, about +11% upside versus a price of ¥24.90 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥20.68, optimistic scenario ¥34.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
Gotion High tech Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 61.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Gotion High tech Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Gotion High tech Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.40% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Gotion High tech Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.1 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 16, 2026. The payout ratio is 25.6% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.4% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.4% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gotion High tech Co Ltd it is ¥27.58 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥24.90. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Gotion High tech Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 002074 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥24.90, fair value ¥27.58, a gap of about +11% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002074?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥24.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥27.58). For Gotion High tech Co Ltd the two are ¥2.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gotion High tech Co Ltd worth?
The market values Gotion High tech Co Ltd at about 45.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥24.90; our models calculate a fair value of ¥27.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002074?
Our models span a range for Gotion High tech Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥20.68, base ¥27.58, optimistic ¥34.47 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥24.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002074?
Gotion High tech Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 63.8 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥27.58 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 35.9. Other multiples: PEG 6.0, P/B 1.6, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 7.0.
What is the PEG ratio of 002074?
The PEG ratio of Gotion High tech Co Ltd is 6.04 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gotion High tech Co Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 1.8%, debt of 0.68 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002074 from its 52-week high?
Gotion High tech Co Ltd trades at ¥24.90, about 44% below its 52-week high of ¥44.12 and 10% above the low of ¥22.59 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥27.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gotion High tech Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gotion High tech Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥24.90, calculated fair value ¥27.58 (+11%), Quality Score 37/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002074 calculated?
We run Gotion High tech Co Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥27.58 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Gotion High tech Co Ltd currently trades 10% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥24.90. Our model-based fair value is ¥27.58, about +11% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gotion High tech Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074) come from?
Earnings per share at Gotion High tech Co Ltd grew −1.2 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +22.8 %, EBIT margin −20.6 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Gotion High tech Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
The market capitalisation of Gotion High tech Co Ltd is 45.2B CNY (≈ $6.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gotion High tech Co Ltd is 0.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
Earnings per share at Gotion High tech Co Ltd are ¥0.3900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 63.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
The dividend yield of Gotion High tech Co Ltd is 0.4% (payout 25.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
The net margin of Gotion High tech Co Ltd is 1.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gotion High tech Co Ltd is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gotion High tech Co Ltd is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
The operating margin of Gotion High tech Co Ltd is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
Revenue at Gotion High tech Co Ltd is growing +74.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074)?
Earnings per share at Gotion High tech Co Ltd are growing +564% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074) generate?
The free cash flow of Gotion High tech Co Ltd is −6.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gotion High tech Co Ltd (002074) carry?
The net debt of Gotion High tech Co Ltd is 22.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 6, 2026