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Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd ¥2.75, price ¥6.69, upside -58.9%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE000001Q51

GG Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd

002103 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥2.75 · Strongly overvalued (−59%)
!Quality 50/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range ¥2.11 to ¥5.76

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥17.07 ¥3.75 Fair Value ¥2.75 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.75 – ¥17.07 · fair‑value band ¥2.11 – ¥5.76 · the ¥6.69 price screens above the ¥2.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Guangbo Group Stock Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of cultural and educational office supplies in China. It is also involved in fashion office supplies, cultural and creative life, and office direct sales.

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Guangbo Group Stock Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of cultural and educational office supplies in China. It is also involved in fashion office supplies, cultural and creative life, and office direct sales. In addition, the company engages in e-commerce, internet website advertising, and other internet marketing business. Guangbo Group Stock Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Zhejiang Guangbo Group Company Ltd. and changed its name to Guangbo Group Stock Co., Ltd. in February 2011. Guangbo Group Stock Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Ningbo, China.

Stock analysis

Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103) currently trades at ¥6.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.75, implying the stock looks roughly 143.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥5.83 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥6.69 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥1.05, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥2.11 (bear) to ¥5.76 (bull), the price of ¥6.69 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was 165M CNY in FY2025, compounding +72.9%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 3.6B CNY (≈ $533M) · P/E ratio 23.1 · P/S ratio 1.38 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2900 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 13.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −59%, 002103 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.11 Fair Value ¥2.75 Bull ¥5.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2121 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥0.7600 ¥1.05 ¥1.44 77
EPV ¥2.32 ¥2.61 ¥2.86 74
ROIC Compounder ¥2.32 ¥2.75 ¥3.27 72
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥0.7600 ¥1.05 ¥1.44 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.09 ¥6.85 ¥9.16 64
Lynch FV ¥1.54 ¥2.20 ¥2.85 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.54 ¥2.20 ¥2.85 57
EPV ¥2.32 ¥2.61 ¥2.86 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0100 ¥0.0100 ¥0.0200 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0100 ¥0.0100 ¥0.0100 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.85 ¥6.47 ¥8.09 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.93 ¥5.24 ¥6.55 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.93 ¥5.24 ¥6.55 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.99 ¥5.27 ¥6.56 66
EV/EBITDA ¥4.03 ¥5.33 ¥6.62 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.89 ¥4.07 ¥5.24 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.16 ¥1.55 ¥2.32 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.07 ¥2.44 ¥5.11 71
ROIC Compounder ¥2.32 ¥2.75 ¥3.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.08 ¥5.83 ¥7.58 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 26/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.5% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+65.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+65.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.65% vs 6%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−9% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

002103 screens 143% overvalued. Compare with GRG Banking Equipment Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Business Equipment & Supplies · 74 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.89× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.27× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 19.1× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.34× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)73 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)53 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002103

Frequently asked questions

Is Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.75 versus a price of ¥6.69, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002103?
Our model-based fair value for Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd is ¥2.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.69.
What is the quality score of 002103?
Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.11, optimistic scenario ¥5.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.75, about −59% upside versus a price of ¥6.69 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.11, optimistic scenario ¥5.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd it is ¥2.75 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥6.69. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002103 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.69, fair value ¥2.75, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002103?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.69); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.75). For Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd the two are ¥3.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd worth?
The market values Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd at about 3.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.69; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002103?
Our models span a range for Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.11, base ¥2.75, optimistic ¥5.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥6.69). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002103?
Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.75 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.3, P/B 2.9, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 19.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 002103?
The PEG ratio of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd is 1.34 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.3%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002103 from its 52-week high?
Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd trades at ¥6.69, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥10.43 and 17% above the low of ¥5.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GRG Banking Equipment Co, Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc, XGD Inc, DOMS Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥6.69, calculated fair value ¥2.75 (−59%), Quality Score 50/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002103 calculated?
We run Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥6.69. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.75, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (¥2.11 to ¥5.76). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103) come from?
Earnings per share at Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd grew +11.0 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.4 %, EBIT margin +2.9 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
The market capitalisation of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd is 3.6B CNY (≈ $533M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd is 1.38 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
Earnings per share at Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd are ¥0.2900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
The dividend yield of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd is 0.0% (payout 0.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
The net margin of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd is 6.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
The operating margin of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
Revenue at Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd is growing +14.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103)?
Earnings per share at Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd are growing −31.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd is −20.0M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd (002103) carry?
The net debt of Guangbo Group Stock Co Ltd is 167M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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