Ningbo Donly Co (002164) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.0B CNY

A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• A fairly wide model range (¥2.75 to ¥6.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.47 – ¥17.79 · fair‑value band ¥2.75 – ¥6.90 · the ¥11.44 price screens above the ¥5.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Ningbo Donly Co (002164) currently trades at ¥11.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.52, implying the stock looks roughly 51.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Donly Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 13.7%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 12.0M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.75 (bear case) to ¥6.90 (bull case); at ¥11.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -52%, 002164 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥16.85) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Ningbo Donly Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and technical consultation of transmission equipment, door control systems, and industrial automatic control systems in China and internationally.

Full company description

Ningbo Donly Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and technical consultation of transmission equipment, door control systems, and industrial automatic control systems in China and internationally. It offers special, non-standard, and standard gears used in metallurgy, mining, environmental protection, construction, electricity, water conservancy, and other industries; electric drive equipment, including motors and special motors used in metallurgy, starting, roller table, frequency conversion, braking, construction, and other industries; and automatic door control systems, such as automatic doors for operating rooms, passages, radiation protection, and wards, as well as emergency evacuation doors, automatic overlapping doors, and other automatic door control devices for use in hospitals, pharmaceutical companies, office buildings, and other industries. Ningbo Donly Co.,Ltd was formerly known as Ningbo Donly Transmission Equipment Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Ningbo Donly Co.,Ltd in January 2014. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo Donly Co reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.6B in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥196M in FY2025, compounding −12.4%/yr from FY2021.

002164 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.