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Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd ¥5.10, price ¥17.58, upside -71.0%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100000825

TH Some data Sep 27, 2026

Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd

002185 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥5.10 · Strongly overvalued (−71.0%)
!Quality 46/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!0.1% dividend yield · Token dividend
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 26 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥25.31 ¥5.79 Fair Value ¥5.10 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.79 – ¥25.31 · fair‑value band ¥3.82 – ¥6.84 · the ¥17.58 price screens above the ¥5.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Tianshui Huatian Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in research, development, production, packaging, testing, and sales of semiconductor integrated circuits in China and internationally.

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Tianshui Huatian Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in research, development, production, packaging, testing, and sales of semiconductor integrated circuits in China and internationally. It offers integrated circuit packaging products, including multiple series such as DIP, SOT, SOP, QFP, QFN/DFN, BGA/LGA, FC, MCM, SiP, WLP, TSV, Bumping, MEMS, FO, PLP, and 2.5D/3D. It is used in electronic assemblies and intelligent fields, such as computers, network communications, consumer electronics and smart mobile terminals, the Internet of Things, industrial automation control, and automotive electronics. The company is also involved in engineering and electromechanical; import and export trade; and investment activities. It exports its products. Tianshui Huatian Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Tianshui, China.

Stock analysis

Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185) currently trades at ¥17.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.10, implying the stock looks roughly 244.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥6.53 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥17.58 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.31, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥3.82 (bear) to ¥6.84 (bull), the price of ¥17.58 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 17.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 12.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was 711M CNY in FY2025, compounding −15.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 57.4B CNY (≈ $8.5B) · P/E ratio 45.1 · P/S ratio 1.86 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3900 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −71%, 002185 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥2.31 to ¥21.15). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥3.82 Fair Value ¥5.10 Bull ¥6.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2732 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥3.96 ¥3.95 ¥4.09 76
EPV ¥2.23 ¥2.60 ¥2.92 74
ROIC Compounder ¥2.23 ¥2.60 ¥2.92 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.45 ¥9.84 ¥13.79 63
Lynch FV ¥2.89 ¥4.12 ¥5.36 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.89 ¥4.12 ¥5.36 57
EPV ¥2.23 ¥2.60 ¥2.92 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.34 ¥2.68 ¥4.05 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.34 ¥2.31 ¥2.83 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.49 ¥5.98 ¥7.48 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.72 ¥3.63 ¥4.54 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.72 ¥3.63 ¥4.54 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.07 ¥6.82 ¥8.56 66
EV/EBITDA ¥15.83 ¥21.15 ¥26.48 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.49 ¥3.62 ¥4.76 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.68 ¥3.59 ¥5.35 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.96 ¥3.95 ¥4.09 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.23 ¥2.60 ¥2.92 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.57 ¥6.53 ¥8.49 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.1% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.2% vs 2.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

002185 screens 245% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 214 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −71.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6.5% · Below median
Return on assets 0.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 35.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.33× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 45.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.22× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.88× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 16.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.12× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 88
PAST (return on equity)26 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $485.00 $368.52 −24%
KLA Corporation KLAC $187.92 $160.12 −15%
Teradyne, Inc TER $398.38 $65.79 −83%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥339.30 ¥110.10 −68%
SJ Semiconductor Corporation 688820 ¥128.02 ¥13.84 −89%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 5,670 TWD 4,864 TWD −14%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥700.90 ¥320.60 −54%
Qnity Electronics, Inc Q $124.69 $70.44 −44%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002185

Frequently asked questions

Is Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.10 versus a price of ¥17.58, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002185?
Our model-based fair value for Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd is ¥5.10 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥17.58.
What is the quality score of 002185?
Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.10 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.82, optimistic scenario ¥6.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.10, about −71% upside versus a price of ¥17.58 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.82, optimistic scenario ¥6.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 19.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd it is ¥5.10 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ¥17.58. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 002185 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥17.58, fair value ¥5.10, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002185?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥17.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.10). For Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥12.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd at about 57.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥17.58; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002185?
Our models span a range for Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.82, base ¥5.10, optimistic ¥6.84 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ¥17.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002185?
Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥5.10 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 3.2, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 16.2.
What is the PEG ratio of 002185?
The PEG ratio of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd is 1.12 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 6.5%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002185 from its 52-week high?
Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥17.58, about 31% below its 52-week high of ¥25.31 and 67% above the low of ¥10.53 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Lam Research Corporation, Applied Materials, Inc, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ¥17.58, calculated fair value ¥5.10 (−71%), Quality Score 46/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002185 calculated?
We run Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥5.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥17.58. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.10, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185) come from?
Earnings per share at Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd grew +0.8 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.8 %, EBIT margin −3.8 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
The market capitalisation of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd is 57.4B CNY (≈ $8.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd is 1.86 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
Earnings per share at Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd are ¥0.3900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 45.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
The dividend yield of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd is 0.1% (payout 5.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
The net margin of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd is 4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
The operating margin of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
Revenue at Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd is growing +35.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185)?
Earnings per share at Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd are growing +189% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185) generate?
The free cash flow of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd is −2.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd (002185) carry?
The net debt of Tianshui Huatian Technology Co Ltd is 6.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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