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Shenzhen Leaguer Co (002243) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 8.8B CNY

SL Shenzhen Leaguer Co 002243 · SHE
Price¥7.29
Fair Value¥2.21
Upside-69.7%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 7.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.70% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.86 – ¥2.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +12.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.41 ¥5.05 Fair Value ¥2.21 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.05 – ¥13.41 · fair‑value band ¥1.86 – ¥2.87 · the ¥7.29 price screens above the ¥2.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Leaguer Co (002243) currently trades at ¥7.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.21, implying the stock looks roughly 69.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Leaguer Co generated revenue of 2.4B CNY at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue grew 18.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.0%. Net debt stands at 4.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.86 (bear case) to ¥2.87 (bull case); at ¥7.29, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -70%, 002243 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.25 ¥4.07 ¥3.25 76
Gordon GGM ¥0.6100 ¥1.22 ¥1.85 70
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.54 ¥2.21 ¥2.87 68
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥1.08 ¥2.65 ¥4.91 31
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.4800 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥0.8200 38
10Y P/E Exit ¥0.0900 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.9900 ¥2.91 ¥3.85 54
Lynch FV ¥0.6100 ¥0.8700 ¥1.13 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.6100 ¥0.8700 ¥1.13 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.6100 ¥1.22 ¥1.85 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.6100 ¥0.9700 ¥1.29 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.86 ¥2.48 ¥3.10 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.86 ¥2.48 ¥3.10 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.86 ¥2.48 ¥3.10 55
EV/EBITDA ¥0.0400 ¥0.5600 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.02 ¥4.05 ¥6.04 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.25 ¥4.07 ¥3.25 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.54 ¥2.21 ¥2.87 68

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥4.07) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.8700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.7%
Net margin 7.2%
Return on equity 1.0%
Free cash flow 5.8M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 48.5
More key figures
Operating margin 2.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1500
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -46.2%
Net debt 4.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Leaguer Co., Ltd. engages in the design, manufacturing, and service provision of plastic packaging solutions for cosmetics, daily necessities, health products, and food in China and internationally.

Full company description

Shenzhen Leaguer Co., Ltd. engages in the design, manufacturing, and service provision of plastic packaging solutions for cosmetics, daily necessities, health products, and food in China and internationally. It designs, manufactures, and sells process equipment and precision molds; researches and develops polymer material modification and materials, as well as provides base platform, science and technology innovation operation, and investment incubation services. It is also involved in the filling and mixing of cosmetics; design and manufacturing of information labels; design and manufacturing of lightweight automotive solutions; logistics and distribution; recycling of plastic packaging waste; and new material research and development and production. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Beauty Star Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shenzhen Leaguer Co., Ltd. in January 2021. Shenzhen Leaguer Co., Ltd. was founded in 1995 is based in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Leaguer Co reported revenue of ¥2.3B in FY2025 versus ¥3.0B in FY2021, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥177M in FY2025, compounding −27.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+10.7%
Revenue −6.0%/yr
FY21 ¥3.0B
FY22 ¥2.6B
FY23 ¥2.5B
FY24 ¥2.3B
FY25 ¥2.3B
Net income −27.2%/yr
FY21 ¥631M
FY22 ¥417M
FY23 ¥329M
FY24 ¥245M
FY25 ¥177M

002243 screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Leaguer Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002243

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −70% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.59× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 48.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.20× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 227.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 53.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 94 · sector 1
PAST 4 · sector 21
HEALTH 70 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Leaguer Co (002243) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.21 versus a price of ¥7.29, about −70% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002243?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Leaguer Co is ¥2.21 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.29.
What is the quality score of 002243?
Shenzhen Leaguer Co has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Leaguer Co (002243)?
Shenzhen Leaguer Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002243?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Leaguer Co is about 7.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shenzhen Leaguer Co pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Leaguer Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.70% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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