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Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd stock ¥8.05, price ¥9.37, that is 14.1% below the price, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate CN · ISIN CNE100000BS5

HB Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd logo Some data Nov 5, 2026

Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd

002244 · SHE
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 14% below what the stock costs today.

Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Quality 47/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +23.7 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 2.7% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
0.7% dividend yield · Token dividend
Some data
Revenue last quarter 43% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥8.05 · Overvalued (−14.1%)
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 23/100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥12.45 ¥3.56 Fair Value ¥8.05 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.56 – ¥12.45 · fair‑value band ¥7.65 – ¥8.88 · the ¥9.37 price screens above the ¥8.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co.,Ltd engages in the real estate development and related businesses in China. It involved in the leasing of office buildings, commercial podiums, community retail spaces, and apartments. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244) currently trades at ¥9.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.05, 14% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥22.54 per share, and 4 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥9.37 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.44, and 5 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥7.65 (bear) to ¥8.88 (bull), the price of ¥9.37 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 82.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 38.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +21.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding −8.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 29.2B CNY (≈ $4.4B) Mid · P/E ratio 17.4 · P/S ratio 0.48 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5400 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 2.7% · Return on equity 4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at −14%, 002244 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥7.65 Fair Value ¥8.05 Bull ¥8.88
Price ¥9.37 · Downside -14.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4035 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥7.65 ¥8.05 ¥8.88 76
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.18 ¥3.78 ¥4.64 67
EV/EBITDA ¥23.84 ¥31.20 ¥38.56 67
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.18 ¥4.41 ¥6.78 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.18 ¥3.78 ¥4.64 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple ¥8.67 ¥11.56 ¥14.45 57
P/B Multiple ¥6.76 ¥9.01 ¥11.26 55
EV/EBIT ¥28.13 ¥36.92 ¥45.71 65
EV/EBITDA ¥23.84 ¥31.20 ¥38.56 67
EV/Revenue ¥16.31 ¥22.54 ¥28.77 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.27 ¥3.44 ¥4.30 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.65 ¥8.05 ¥8.88 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 22
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 47
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 87
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 62
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 38
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 28
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +20.7% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.9% vs 6.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

002244 screens overvalued: fair value 14% below the price. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 489 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −14.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 4.7% · Above median
Return on assets 1.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 4.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 4.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −43.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.88× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 17.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.99× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 0.82× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.27× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)15 · sector 67
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)19 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)56 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)15 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002244

Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.05 versus a price of ¥9.37, about 14% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002244?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd is ¥8.05 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.37.
What is the quality score of 002244?
Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.05 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.65, optimistic scenario ¥8.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.05, about 14% lower versus a price of ¥9.37 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.65, optimistic scenario ¥8.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 60.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.73% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.068 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 22, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2009. The payout ratio is 12.6% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.7% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.7% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd it is ¥8.05 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥9.37. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 002244 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.37, fair value ¥8.05, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002244?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.05). For Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd the two are ¥1.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd at about 29.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.37; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002244?
Our models span a range for Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥7.65, base ¥8.05, optimistic ¥8.88 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥9.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002244?
Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.4 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥8.05 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 9.8. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 11.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 002244?
The PEG ratio of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd is 0.27 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 4.7%, debt of 0.88 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002244 from its 52-week high?
Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd trades at ¥9.37, about 23% below its 52-week high of ¥12.12 and 25% above the low of ¥7.47 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥9.37, calculated fair value ¥8.05 (−14%), Quality Score 47/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002244 calculated?
We run Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd through 9 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥8.05 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥9.37. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.05, about 14% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244) come from?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd grew +10.0 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +18.2 %, EBIT margin −5.5 %, tax rate −1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
The market capitalisation of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd is 29.2B CNY (≈ $4.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd is 0.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd are ¥0.5400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
The dividend yield of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd is 0.7% (payout 12.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
The net margin of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd is 2.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
The operating margin of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
Revenue at Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd is growing −43.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd are growing −34.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244) generate?
The free cash flow of Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd is −4.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244) hold?
Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 9.5B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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