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Weihai Huadong Automation Co (002248) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.0B CNY

WH Weihai Huadong Automation Co 002248 · SHE
Price¥10.05
Fair Value¥2.27
Upside-77.4%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.69 – ¥2.85 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +13.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥15.58 ¥4.02 Fair Value ¥2.27 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.02 – ¥15.58 · fair‑value band ¥1.69 – ¥2.85 · the ¥10.05 price screens above the ¥2.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Weihai Huadong Automation Co (002248) currently trades at ¥10.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.27, implying the stock looks roughly 77.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Weihai Huadong Automation Co generated revenue of 335M CNY at a net margin of 10.1%. Revenue declined 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 35.1%. Net debt stands at 16.6M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.69 (bear case) to ¥2.85 (bull case); at ¥10.05, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -77%, 002248 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.0700 to ¥2.54). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.70 ¥2.27 ¥3.03 80
Residual Income ¥0.8000 ¥1.26 ¥14.11 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.44 ¥2.06 ¥2.74 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.66 ¥2.28 ¥3.13 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.68 ¥2.30 ¥3.16 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.44 ¥2.04 ¥2.78 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.69 ¥2.49 ¥3.39 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.65 ¥2.43 ¥3.19 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.47 ¥2.02 ¥2.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.66 ¥2.32 ¥3.12 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.64 ¥2.28 ¥2.98 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.7500 ¥1.72 ¥2.20 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.2900 ¥0.4100 ¥0.5400 46
EPV ¥1.26 ¥1.43 ¥1.58 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0500 ¥0.0800 ¥0.1100 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0500 ¥0.0700 ¥0.0900 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.73 ¥2.30 ¥2.88 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.40 ¥1.87 ¥2.33 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.17 ¥1.55 ¥1.94 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.88 ¥2.46 ¥3.04 53
EV/EBITDA ¥1.94 ¥2.54 ¥3.14 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.38 ¥1.91 ¥2.45 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.1700 ¥0.2300 ¥0.3500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.70 ¥2.27 ¥3.03 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.44 ¥2.06 ¥2.74 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥0.8000 ¥1.26 ¥14.11 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.28 ¥1.49 ¥1.70 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.30 ¥1.86 ¥2.42 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.28) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 335M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.9%
Net margin 10.1%
Return on equity 35.1%
Free cash flow 46.3M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 89.5
More key figures
Operating margin 11.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1100
Net debt 16.6M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 33
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Weihai Huadong Automation Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, design, manufacturing, sale, and service of grinding and milling machine tools in China and internationally.

Full company description

Weihai Huadong Automation Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, design, manufacturing, sale, and service of grinding and milling machine tools in China and internationally. The company offers surface, CNC surface, and gantry type surface grinders; vertical, horizontal, and gantry machining center products; and conventional cylindrical, CNC cylindrical, CNC vertical, and wheel head moving cylindrical grinders. It also provides turret mills, boring machine, and CNC vertical lathe; HDT series fully functional precision CNC lathe; and precision CNC round table grinding machine. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Weihai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Weihai Huadong Automation Co reported revenue of ¥339M in FY2025 versus ¥315M in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥33.8M in FY2025, compounding +24.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
339M CNY
Latest YoY
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Revenue +1.9%/yr
FY21 ¥315M
FY22 ¥254M
FY23 ¥279M
FY24 ¥334M
FY25 ¥339M
Net income +24.2%/yr
FY21 ¥14.2M
FY22 ¥11.7M
FY23 −¥16.2M
FY24 ¥8.5M
FY25 ¥33.8M

002248 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Weihai Huadong Automation Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002248

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.11× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 89.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 28.51× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 9.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 70.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 28
HEALTH 94 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

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Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Weihai Huadong Automation Co (002248) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.27 versus a price of ¥10.05, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002248?
Our model-based fair value for Weihai Huadong Automation Co is ¥2.27 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.05.
What is the quality score of 002248?
Weihai Huadong Automation Co has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Weihai Huadong Automation Co (002248)?
Weihai Huadong Automation Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 335M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002248?
The net profit margin of Weihai Huadong Automation Co is about 10.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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