China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 6.1B CNY (≈ $907M) · ISIN CNE100000H77
What is China West Construction Group Co Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 35% below our fair value of ¥7.40.
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 3, 2026, revised from ¥3.70 to ¥7.40 (+100.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +2.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥5.78). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.32 – ¥9.41 · fair‑value band ¥5.78 – ¥9.00 · the ¥4.78 price screens below the ¥7.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302) currently trades at ¥4.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.40, implying the stock looks roughly 35.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥4.55 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥4.78 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.90, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, China West Construction Group Co Ltd generated revenue of 17.6B CNY at a net margin of −4.0%. Revenue declined 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −7.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 588M CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.78 (bear case) to ¥9.00 (bull case); at ¥4.78, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −56% fair-value upside, at 55%, 002302 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.55) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.90). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
China West Construction Group Co., Ltd engages in the building materials business in China, Malaysia, Indonesia, Cambodia, and internationally. The company offers ready-mixed concrete, radiating cement, admixtures, commercial mortar, and sand and gravel aggregates.
Full company description
China West Construction Group Co., Ltd engages in the building materials business in China, Malaysia, Indonesia, Cambodia, and internationally. The company offers ready-mixed concrete, radiating cement, admixtures, commercial mortar, and sand and gravel aggregates. It is involved in logistics and transportation; technology research and development and services; testing services; resource utilization; and e-commerce activities. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China West Construction Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 18.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 26.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.4%/yr. Reported net income was −730M CNY in FY2025.
of which total revenue +11.2 % · buybacks/dilution −3.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Building Materials · 258 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $96.05 | $69.69 | −27% |
| Holcim AG HOLN | CHF 71.04 | CHF 20.00 | −72% |
| Vulcan Materials Company VMC | $259.69 | $114.48 | −56% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,891 | ₹4,718 | −60% |
| Heidelberg Materials AG HEI | €170.05 | €167.96 | −1% |
| Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM | $543.90 | $215.31 | −60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥40.56 | ¥13.22 | −67% |
| Amrize AG AMRZ | CHF 37.65 | CHF 29.67 | −21% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,293 | ₹1,245 | −62% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CX | $11.24 | $11.31 | +1% |
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