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China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 19, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China West Construction Group Co Ltd stock ¥7.40, price ¥4.67, upside +58.5%, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · CN · ISIN CNE100000H77

CW China West Construction Group Co Ltd logo Thin data Oct 20, 2026

China West Construction Group Co Ltd

002302 · SHE

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

The stock costs 37% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value ¥7.40 · Strongly undervalued (+58.5%)
Low debt
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Quality 33/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.0 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -5.2% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 14/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥9.41 ¥4.32 Fair Value ¥7.40 Apr 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.32 – ¥9.41 · fair‑value band ¥5.78 – ¥9.00 · the ¥4.67 price screens below the ¥7.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 20, 2026.

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Company profile

China West Construction Group Co., Ltd engages in the building materials business in China, Malaysia, Indonesia, Cambodia, and internationally. The company offers ready-mixed concrete, radiating cement, admixtures, commercial mortar, and sand and gravel aggregates.

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It is involved in logistics and transportation; technology research and development and services; testing services; resource utilization; and e-commerce activities. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Chengdu, China.

Stock analysis

China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302) currently trades at ¥4.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.40, implying the stock looks roughly 36.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥3.70 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥4.67 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.61, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥5.78 (bear) to ¥9.00 (bull), the price of ¥4.67 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

China West Construction Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 18.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 26.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.4%/yr. Reported net income was −730M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 5.9B CNY (≈ $884M) Small · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.6800 · Dividend yield 4.1% · Net margin −5.2% · Return on equity −8.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% · Operating margin −0.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at 58%, 002302 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.78 Fair Value ¥7.40 Bull ¥9.00
Price ¥4.67 · Upside +58.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Gordon GGM ¥1.56 ¥2.91 ¥4.14 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.56 ¥2.61 ¥3.10 67
EV/EBITDA ¥2.89 ¥3.70 ¥4.50 67
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.56 ¥2.91 ¥4.14 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.56 ¥2.61 ¥3.10 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥2.89 ¥3.70 ¥4.50 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.73 ¥2.63 ¥3.28 55

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 11
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 9
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 37
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 82
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 24
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 6
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 42
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.8% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.9% (2020) → −1.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 252 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +58.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −5.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −0.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −23.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 4.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.69× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.36× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)81 · sector 48

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥18.64 ¥28.02 +50% vs 002302
Amrize AG AMRZ $36.20 $35.08 −3% vs 002302
CRH plc CRH $81.54 $74.79 −8% vs 002302
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥38.30 ¥28.26 −26% vs 002302
Holcim AG HOLN CHF 64.20 CHF 35.29 −45% vs 002302
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $244.58 $131.66 −46% vs 002302
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹10,520 ₹4,719 −55% vs 002302
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹2,858 ₹1,245 −56% vs 002302
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $478.35 $207.85 −57% vs 002302
James Hardie Industries plc JHX A$35.89 A$8.10 −77% vs 002302

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China West Construction Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002302

Frequently asked questions

Is China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.40 versus a price of ¥4.67, about +58% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002302?
Our model-based fair value for China West Construction Group Co Ltd is ¥7.40 (as of Oct 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.67.
What is the quality score of 002302?
China West Construction Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.40 (as of Oct 20, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.78, optimistic scenario ¥9.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China West Construction Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.40, about +58% upside versus a price of ¥4.67 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.78, optimistic scenario ¥9.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
China West Construction Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 20, 2026).
Does China West Construction Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China West Construction Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 4.07% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 20, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China West Construction Group Co Ltd it is ¥7.40 per share (as of Oct 20, 2026), against a price of ¥4.67. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China West Construction Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 20, 2026, 002302 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥4.67, fair value ¥7.40, a gap of about +58% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002302?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.40). For China West Construction Group Co Ltd the two are ¥2.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China West Construction Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values China West Construction Group Co Ltd at about 5.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 20, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.67; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002302?
Our models span a range for China West Construction Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.78, base ¥7.40, optimistic ¥9.00 per share (as of Oct 20, 2026, price ¥4.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
Balance-sheet figures for China West Construction Group Co Ltd (as of Oct 20, 2026): return on equity −8.6%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002302 from its 52-week high?
China West Construction Group Co Ltd trades at ¥4.67, about 34% below its 52-week high of ¥7.11 and 8% above the low of ¥4.32 (as of Oct 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China West Construction Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, UltraTech Cement Limited, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China West Construction Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 20, 2026: price ¥4.67, calculated fair value ¥7.40 (+58%), Quality Score 33/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002302 calculated?
We run China West Construction Group Co Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. China West Construction Group Co Ltd currently trades 37 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
The closing price on Oct 19, 2026 was ¥4.67. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.40, about +58% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China West Construction Group Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥5.78). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302) come from?
Earnings per share at China West Construction Group Co Ltd grew +3.0 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.9 %, EBIT margin −3.9 %, tax rate −0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China West Construction Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
The market capitalisation of China West Construction Group Co Ltd is 5.9B CNY (≈ $884M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China West Construction Group Co Ltd is 0.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
Earnings per share at China West Construction Group Co Ltd are ¥−0.6800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
The dividend yield of China West Construction Group Co Ltd is 4.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
The net margin of China West Construction Group Co Ltd is −5.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China West Construction Group Co Ltd is −8.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China West Construction Group Co Ltd is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
The operating margin of China West Construction Group Co Ltd is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
Revenue at China West Construction Group Co Ltd is growing −23.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302)?
Earnings per share at China West Construction Group Co Ltd are growing −90.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302) generate?
The free cash flow of China West Construction Group Co Ltd is −658M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China West Construction Group Co Ltd (002302) hold?
China West Construction Group Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 588M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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