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Guangdong Haid Group (002311) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 72.5B CNY

GH Guangdong Haid Group 002311 · SHE
Price¥47.58
Fair Value¥54.63
Upside+14.8%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.47% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range ¥38.26 – ¥76.85 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (¥38.26 to ¥76.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from ¥38.26 (bear) to ¥76.85 (bull), base ¥54.63. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥79.79 ¥32.93 Fair Value ¥54.63 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥32.93 – ¥79.79 · fair‑value band ¥38.26 – ¥76.85 · the ¥47.58 price screens below the ¥54.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Haid Group (002311) currently trades at ¥47.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥54.63, implying the stock looks roughly 14.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Haid Group generated revenue of 132B CNY at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. Net debt stands at 559M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥38.26 (bear case) to ¥76.85 (bull case); at ¥47.58, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 15%, 002311 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥28.04 ¥54.12 ¥103.03 80
Residual Income ¥16.94 ¥21.45 ¥59.80 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥33.43 ¥65.63 ¥113.16 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥29.20 ¥48.86 ¥103.48 38
Owner Earnings ¥33.38 ¥72.23 ¥152.46 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥33.43 ¥63.65 ¥118.71 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥43.44 ¥85.61 ¥157.48 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥36.79 ¥75.50 ¥124.98 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥30.79 ¥64.53 ¥109.92 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥39.09 ¥83.06 ¥163.51 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥34.43 ¥70.76 ¥132.61 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥17.69 ¥119.65 ¥167.69 54
Lynch FV ¥35.09 ¥50.13 ¥65.17 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥35.09 ¥50.13 ¥65.17 46
EPV ¥31.04 ¥35.91 ¥40.18 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥12.95 ¥26.93 ¥42.72 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥12.95 ¥22.71 ¥28.26 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥39.02 ¥52.03 ¥65.04 63
P/S Multiple ¥33.17 ¥44.22 ¥55.28 58
P/B Multiple ¥33.16 ¥44.21 ¥55.27 55
EV/EBIT ¥49.13 ¥64.91 ¥80.69 53
EV/EBITDA ¥50.36 ¥66.55 ¥82.74 54
EV/Revenue ¥33.70 ¥47.38 ¥61.06 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.37 ¥9.87 ¥14.74 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥28.04 ¥54.12 ¥103.03 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥33.43 ¥65.63 ¥113.16 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥16.94 ¥21.45 ¥59.80 76
ROIC Compounder ¥37.99 ¥54.20 ¥76.91 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥47.55 ¥67.93 ¥88.31 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥70.76) versus Asset-Based (¥9.87). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 132B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.2%
Net margin 3.0%
Return on equity 15.8%
Free cash flow 2.9B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 18.8
More key figures
Operating margin 3.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥2.34
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -29.9%
Net debt 559M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Haid Group Co., Limited, together with its subsidiaries, research, develops, designs, produces, sells, and services animal feed products in China and internationally. The company operates through Feed, Animal Health, Aquaculture, and Trading segments.

Full company description

Guangdong Haid Group Co., Limited, together with its subsidiaries, research, develops, designs, produces, sells, and services animal feed products in China and internationally. The company operates through Feed, Animal Health, Aquaculture, and Trading segments. It offers animal feeds, such as pig, chicken, shrimp, duck, fish feed, and premix; shrimp and freshwater cultured seedlings; animal healthcare and vaccines, including biological vaccines, veterinary drugs, environmental improvement agents, animal microecological agents, nutritional immunity products, and traditional Chinese medicine preparations; farming of pigs, fish, and white-leg shrimp; and safe food products. Guangdong Haid Group Co., Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China. Guangdong Haid Group Co., Limited operates as a subsidiary of Guangzhou Haihao Investment Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Haid Group reported revenue of ¥128B in FY2025 versus ¥86.1B in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.3B in FY2025, compounding +27.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
128B CNY
Latest YoY
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+16.3%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+26.3%
Revenue +10.5%/yr
FY21 ¥86.1B
FY22 ¥105B
FY23 ¥116B
FY24 ¥115B
FY25 ¥128B
Net income +27.2%/yr
FY21 ¥1.6B
FY22 ¥3.0B
FY23 ¥2.7B
FY24 ¥4.5B
FY25 ¥4.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Haid Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002311

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.99× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.55× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 53 · sector 30
FUTURE 66 · sector 20
PAST 63 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Haid Group (002311) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥54.63 versus a price of ¥47.58, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002311?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Haid Group is ¥54.63 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥47.58.
What is the quality score of 002311?
Guangdong Haid Group has a Quality Score of 57/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Haid Group (002311)?
Guangdong Haid Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 132B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002311?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Haid Group is about 3.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangdong Haid Group pay a dividend?
Guangdong Haid Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.47% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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