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Royal Group Co Ltd (002329) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Royal Group Co Ltd stock ¥2.70, price ¥3.86, that is 30.1% below the price, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive CN · ISIN CNE100000JS8

RG Royal Group Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Royal Group Co Ltd

002329 · SHE
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 30% below what the stock costs today.

Moderate debt
Fair value ¥2.70 · Overvalued
Quality 33/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.6 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -26.7% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 10/100
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥10.60 ¥2.52 Fair Value ¥2.70 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.52 – ¥10.60 · fair‑value band ¥2.02 – ¥3.37 · the ¥3.86 price screens above the ¥2.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Royal Group Co.,Ltd. engages in the processing, producing, and selling of dairy products in China. The company operates through four segments: Food Manufacturing and Sales; Culture Media; Information Service and Information Engineering; and Photovoltaic Module Sales, EPC Business, and Others.

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It offers buffalo, fermented, pasteurized fresh, sterilized, formulated, chilled, and room temperature milk; and other food products, such as milk-containing beverages, plant protein beverages, and bread.

The company was formerly known as Guangxi Royal Dairy Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Royal Group Co.,Ltd. in December 2014. Royal Group Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Nanning, China.

Stock analysis

Royal Group Co Ltd (002329) currently trades at ¥3.86, while our estimate is ¥2.70, 30% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ¥2.02 (bear) to ¥3.37 (bull), the price of ¥3.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Royal Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound −8.9%/yr. Reported net income was −449M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.2B CNY (≈ $482M) Small · P/S ratio 1.64 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.5800 · Dividend yield 4.3% · Net margin −26.7% · Return on equity −61.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin −3.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −30%, 002329 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ¥2.02 Fair Value ¥2.70 Bull ¥3.37
Price ¥3.86 · Downside -30.1%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 8
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 9
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 6
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 78
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 51
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 48
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 48
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 93
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.5% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.7% (2020) → −2.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

002329 screens overvalued: fair value 30% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 660 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −30.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −10.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −26.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −3.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 5.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 4.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.37× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 6.62× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.79× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)30 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)32 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)87 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 2.95 SGD 4.93 SGD +67% vs 002329
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥31.14 ¥41.84 +34% vs 002329
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.24 $29.20 +20% vs 002329
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.46 ¥39.22 +11% vs 002329
General Mills, Inc GIS $34.60 $35.30 +2% vs 002329
Danone S.A BN €68.32 €50.65 −26% vs 002329
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 86.41 CHF 59.51 −31% vs 002329
Kerry Group KRZ €97.10 €60.33 −38% vs 002329
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,298 ₹724.74 −44% vs 002329
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.92 ¥12.21 −53% vs 002329

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Royal Group Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Royal Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002329

Frequently asked questions

Is Royal Group Co Ltd (002329) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ¥2.70 versus a price of ¥3.86, about 30% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002329?
Our estimate for Royal Group Co Ltd is ¥2.70 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.86.
What is the quality score of 002329?
Royal Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of ¥2.70 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ¥2.02, optimistic scenario ¥3.37. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Royal Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at ¥2.70, about 30% lower versus a price of ¥3.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.02, optimistic scenario ¥3.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
Royal Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Royal Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Royal Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 4.34% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
Royal Group Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 4.3%.
What is the intrinsic value of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Royal Group Co Ltd it is ¥2.70 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥3.86.
Is Royal Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 002329 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.86, fair value ¥2.70, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002329?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.70). For Royal Group Co Ltd the two are ¥1.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Royal Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Royal Group Co Ltd at about 3.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.86; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002329?
Our models span a range for Royal Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.02, base ¥2.70, optimistic ¥3.37 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥3.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
Balance-sheet figures for Royal Group Co Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −61.3%, debt of 1.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002329 from its 52-week high?
Royal Group Co Ltd trades at ¥3.86, about 20% below its 52-week high of ¥4.84 and 46% above the low of ¥2.65 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Royal Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Royal Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥3.86, calculated fair value ¥2.70 (−30%), Quality Score 33/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Royal Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥3.86. Our estimate is ¥2.70, about 30% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Royal Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Royal Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
The market capitalisation of Royal Group Co Ltd is 3.2B CNY (≈ $482M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Royal Group Co Ltd is 1.64 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
Earnings per share at Royal Group Co Ltd are ¥−0.5800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
The dividend yield of Royal Group Co Ltd is 4.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
The net margin of Royal Group Co Ltd is −26.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Royal Group Co Ltd is −61.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Royal Group Co Ltd is −4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
The operating margin of Royal Group Co Ltd is −3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
Revenue at Royal Group Co Ltd is growing +5.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Royal Group Co Ltd (002329)?
Earnings per share at Royal Group Co Ltd are growing −26.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Royal Group Co Ltd (002329) generate?
The free cash flow of Royal Group Co Ltd is −174M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Royal Group Co Ltd (002329) carry?
The net debt of Royal Group Co Ltd is 1.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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