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Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ciwen Media Co Ltd stock ¥5.67, price ¥9.33, that is 39.2% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Communication Services CN · ISIN CNE100000KQ0

CM Ciwen Media Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Ciwen Media Co Ltd

002343 · SHE
Very expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 39% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Quality 51/100
Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +8.7 %/yr in CNY)
Revenue last quarter 66% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥5.67 · Strongly overvalued
Loss-making · -16.9% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

¥11.32 ¥3.86 Fair Value ¥5.67 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.86 – ¥11.32 · fair‑value band ¥4.25 – ¥7.09 · the ¥9.33 price screens above the ¥5.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Ciwen Media Co.,Ltd. engages in the film, television dramas, game products, channel promotions, and artist management businesses in China and internationally. It offers TV dramas, online dramas, movies, online movies, etc.

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Ciwen Media Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as Zhejiang Hexin Industry Group Co. Ltd and changed its name to Ciwen Media Co.,Ltd. in January 2016. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343) currently trades at ¥9.33, while our estimate is ¥5.67, 39% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ¥4.25 (bear) to ¥7.09 (bull), the price of ¥9.33 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ciwen Media Co Ltd reported revenue of 398M CNY in FY2025 versus 405M CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was −18.1M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.4B CNY (≈ $663M) Small · P/S ratio 18.3 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0800 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −16.9% · Return on equity −4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 2,624%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −39%, 002343 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ¥4.25 Fair Value ¥5.67 Bull ¥7.09
Price ¥9.33 · Downside -39.2%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 7
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 74
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 95
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 51
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 69
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 67
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 98
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−52.8% (2020) → −1.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

002343 screens overvalued: fair value 39% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 251 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −39.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −16.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −66.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.17× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.56× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 19.63× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)5 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Netflix, Inc NFLX $63.26 $70.35 +11% vs 002343
Universal Music Group UMG €17.05 €18.88 +11% vs 002343
Fox Corporation FOX $60.25 $65.92 +9% vs 002343
Formula One Group FWONK $108.94 $112.18 +3% vs 002343
The Walt Disney Company DIS $119.21 $101.07 −15% vs 002343
News Corporation NWS $29.81 $17.05 −43% vs 002343
Liberty Live Holdings LLYVK $107.40 $38.31 −64% vs 002343
TKO Group TKO $199.22 $69.66 −65% vs 002343
Warner Music Group WMG $31.84 $10.61 −67% vs 002343
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.25 $47.75 −73% vs 002343

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Ciwen Media Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ciwen Media Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002343

Frequently asked questions

Is Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ¥5.67 versus a price of ¥9.33, about 39% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002343?
Our estimate for Ciwen Media Co Ltd is ¥5.67 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.33.
What is the quality score of 002343?
Ciwen Media Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of ¥5.67 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ¥4.25, optimistic scenario ¥7.09. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Ciwen Media Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at ¥5.67, about 39% lower versus a price of ¥9.33 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.25, optimistic scenario ¥7.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Ciwen Media Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 225M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Ciwen Media Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Ciwen Media Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.26% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Ciwen Media Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.3%.
What is the intrinsic value of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ciwen Media Co Ltd it is ¥5.67 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥9.33.
Is Ciwen Media Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 002343 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.33, fair value ¥5.67, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002343?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.67). For Ciwen Media Co Ltd the two are ¥3.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ciwen Media Co Ltd worth?
The market values Ciwen Media Co Ltd at about 4.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.33; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002343?
Our models span a range for Ciwen Media Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥4.25, base ¥5.67, optimistic ¥7.09 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥9.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ciwen Media Co Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −4.2%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002343 from its 52-week high?
Ciwen Media Co Ltd trades at ¥9.33, about 14% below its 52-week high of ¥10.89 and 115% above the low of ¥4.33 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ciwen Media Co Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ciwen Media Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥9.33, calculated fair value ¥5.67 (−39%), Quality Score 51/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Ciwen Media Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥9.33. Our estimate is ¥5.67, about 39% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ciwen Media Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343) come from?
Earnings per share at Ciwen Media Co Ltd grew −16.9 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −12.4 %, EBIT margin −6.3 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Ciwen Media Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The market capitalisation of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is 4.4B CNY (≈ $663M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is 18.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Earnings per share at Ciwen Media Co Ltd are ¥−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The dividend yield of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The net margin of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is −16.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is −4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is −1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The operating margin of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is 2,624% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Revenue at Ciwen Media Co Ltd is growing −66.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Earnings per share at Ciwen Media Co Ltd are growing −23.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343) generate?
The free cash flow of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is −53.0M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343) carry?
The net debt of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is 155M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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