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Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Ciwen Media Co Ltd ¥1.37, price ¥5.86, upside -76.6%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · CN · ISIN CNE100000KQ0

CM Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Ciwen Media Co Ltd

002343 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥1.37 · Strongly overvalued (−77%)
!Quality 50/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +8.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -15.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/11)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 9 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥11.32 ¥3.86 Fair Value ¥1.37 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.86 – ¥11.32 · fair‑value band ¥0.9100 – ¥1.71 · the ¥5.86 price screens above the ¥1.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Ciwen Media Co.,Ltd. engages in the film, television dramas, game products, channel promotions, and artist management businesses in China and internationally. It offers TV dramas, online dramas, movies, online movies, etc. Ciwen Media Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as Zhejiang Hexin Industry Group Co. Ltd and changed its name to Ciwen Media Co.,Ltd.

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Ciwen Media Co.,Ltd. engages in the film, television dramas, game products, channel promotions, and artist management businesses in China and internationally. It offers TV dramas, online dramas, movies, online movies, etc. Ciwen Media Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as Zhejiang Hexin Industry Group Co. Ltd and changed its name to Ciwen Media Co.,Ltd. in January 2016. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343) currently trades at ¥5.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.37, implying the stock looks roughly 327.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥1.37 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥5.86 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.1900, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.9100 (bear) to ¥1.71 (bull), the price of ¥5.86 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ciwen Media Co Ltd reported revenue of 398M CNY in FY2025 versus 405M CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was −18.1M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.8B CNY (≈ $414M) · P/S ratio 10.9 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0700 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −4.5% · Return on equity −3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.8% · Operating margin −154%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −77%, 002343 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.9100 Fair Value ¥1.37 Bull ¥1.71
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥0.1700 ¥0.1900 ¥0.2100 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1700 ¥0.2100 ¥0.2500 67
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.02 ¥1.37 ¥2.04 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1700 ¥0.1900 ¥0.2100 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1700 ¥0.2100 ¥0.2500 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.02 ¥1.37 ¥2.04 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−52.8% (2020) → −1.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

002343 screens 328% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 263 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −154% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −99% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.17× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.43× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.96× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)9 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $72.16 $79.38 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.82 $100.87 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.83 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $169.84 $64.71 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.55 €16.00 +10%
TKO Group TKO $188.87 $95.50 −49%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.62 $104.08 +10%
Fox Corporation FOXA $64.25 $89.49 +39%
Roku, Inc ROKU $154.25 $42.88 −72%
News Corporation NWS A$45.40 A$29.85 −34%

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Ciwen Media Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥1.37 −328%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ciwen Media Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002343

Frequently asked questions

Is Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.37 versus a price of ¥5.86, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002343?
Our model-based fair value for Ciwen Media Co Ltd is ¥1.37 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.86.
What is the quality score of 002343?
Ciwen Media Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.37 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.9100, optimistic scenario ¥1.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ciwen Media Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.37, about −77% upside versus a price of ¥5.86 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.9100, optimistic scenario ¥1.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Ciwen Media Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 212M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ciwen Media Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Ciwen Media Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ciwen Media Co Ltd it is ¥1.37 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥5.86. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ciwen Media Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002343 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.86, fair value ¥1.37, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002343?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.86); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.37). For Ciwen Media Co Ltd the two are ¥4.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ciwen Media Co Ltd worth?
The market values Ciwen Media Co Ltd at about 2.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.86; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002343?
Our models span a range for Ciwen Media Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.9100, base ¥1.37, optimistic ¥1.71 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥5.86). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ciwen Media Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.5%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002343 from its 52-week high?
Ciwen Media Co Ltd trades at ¥5.86, about 31% below its 52-week high of ¥8.53 and 35% above the low of ¥4.33 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ciwen Media Co Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ciwen Media Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥5.86, calculated fair value ¥1.37 (−77%), Quality Score 50/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002343 calculated?
We run Ciwen Media Co Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ciwen Media Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥5.86. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.37, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ciwen Media Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥0.9100 to ¥1.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343) come from?
Earnings per share at Ciwen Media Co Ltd grew −16.9 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −12.4 %, EBIT margin −6.3 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Ciwen Media Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The market capitalisation of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is 2.8B CNY (≈ $414M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is 10.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Earnings per share at Ciwen Media Co Ltd are ¥−0.0700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The dividend yield of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The net margin of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is −4.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is −3.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is −1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
The operating margin of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is −154% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Revenue at Ciwen Media Co Ltd is growing −98.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343)?
Earnings per share at Ciwen Media Co Ltd are growing −23.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343) generate?
The free cash flow of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is −53.0M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ciwen Media Co Ltd (002343) carry?
The net debt of Ciwen Media Co Ltd is 155M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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