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Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co (002378) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 45.5B CNY

CZ Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co 002378 · SHE
Price¥21.63
Fair Value¥3.85
Upside-82.2%
Quality64/100
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Evidence: High Range ¥1.92 – ¥5.13 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Share price −41.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

¥44.98 ¥7.66 Fair Value ¥3.85 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range ¥7.66 – ¥44.98 · fair‑value band ¥1.92 – ¥5.13 · the ¥21.63 price screens above the ¥3.85 fair value. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co (002378) currently trades at ¥21.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.85, implying the stock looks roughly 82.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co generated revenue of 6.6B CNY at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 121.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.6%. Net debt stands at 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.92 (bear case) to ¥5.13 (bull case); at ¥21.63, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 183% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -82%, 002378 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +122%
Net margin 9.5%
Return on equity 25.6%
Free cash flow 129M CNY FY2024
P/E ratio 72.8
More key figures
Operating margin 21.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5200
EPS growth (YoY) +700%
Net debt 1.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co., Ltd. engages in the exploration, mining, smelting, milling, deep processing, and trade of tungsten and other metal mineral products in China and internationally. The company produces and sells ammonium paratungstate, tungsten oxide, tungsten powder, and tungsten carbide powder, as well as cemented carbide products, including ball teeth, blades, cold molds, drill bits, and thermal spray powders. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Ganzhou, China. Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Chongyi Zhangyuan Investment Holding Co., Ltd.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co reported revenue of ¥5.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.7B in FY2021, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥290M in FY2025, compounding +15.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +18.2%/yr
FY21 ¥2.7B
FY22 ¥3.2B
FY23 ¥3.4B
FY24 ¥3.7B
FY25 ¥5.2B
Net income +15.2%/yr
FY21 ¥165M
FY22 ¥203M
FY23 ¥144M
FY24 ¥172M
FY25 ¥290M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002378

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Vale S.A VALE $15.31 $9.14 -40%
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China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥108.33 ¥10.89 -90%
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China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥54.15 ¥6.74 -88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co (002378) undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.85 versus a price of ¥21.63, about −82% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 002378?
Our model-based fair value for Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co is ¥3.85 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥21.63.
What is the quality score of 002378?
Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co has a Quality Score of 64/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co (002378)?
Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002378?
The net profit margin of Chongyi Zhangyuan Tungsten Co is about 9.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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