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Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co (002412) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 3.0B CNY

HH Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co 002412 · SHE
Price¥7.27
Fair Value¥7.95
Upside+9.4%
Quality72/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 21.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.77% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.82 – ¥9.91 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥8.26 to ¥7.95 (−3.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +21.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥5.82 (bear) to ¥9.91 (bull), base ¥7.95. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.34 ¥4.08 Fair Value ¥7.95 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.08 – ¥8.34 · fair‑value band ¥5.82 – ¥9.91 · the ¥7.27 price screens below the ¥7.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co (002412) currently trades at ¥7.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.95, implying the stock looks roughly 9.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of 1.0B CNY at a net margin of 21.8%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 43.5M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.82 (bear case) to ¥9.91 (bull case); at ¥7.27, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 9%, 002412 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.46 ¥7.67 ¥10.69 80
Residual Income ¥3.89 ¥4.16 ¥4.73 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.84 ¥7.30 ¥10.10 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.38 ¥7.87 ¥11.48 38
Owner Earnings ¥5.24 ¥7.67 ¥11.17 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.84 ¥7.27 ¥10.33 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.55 ¥8.58 ¥12.06 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.88 ¥9.20 ¥12.64 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.87 ¥7.09 ¥10.00 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.43 ¥7.98 ¥11.28 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.64 ¥8.40 ¥11.70 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.68 ¥7.94 ¥10.51 54
Lynch FV ¥1.67 ¥2.39 ¥3.10 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.67 ¥2.39 ¥3.10 46
EPV ¥4.20 ¥4.80 ¥5.31 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0300 ¥0.0600 ¥0.0900 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0300 ¥0.0500 ¥0.0600 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.50 ¥8.66 ¥10.83 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.02 ¥6.69 ¥8.37 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.02 ¥6.69 ¥8.37 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.54 ¥8.59 ¥10.63 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.31 ¥8.28 ¥10.24 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.75 ¥6.61 ¥8.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.37 ¥3.17 ¥4.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.46 ¥7.67 ¥10.69 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.84 ¥7.30 ¥10.10 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.89 ¥4.16 ¥4.73 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.20 ¥4.83 ¥5.83 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥5.26 ¥7.51 ¥9.77 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.87) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.0B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.3%
Net margin 21.8%
Return on equity 9.8%
Free cash flow 234M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 13.4
More key figures
Operating margin 22.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4500
Dividend yield 4.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +241%
Net cash 43.5M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of traditional Chinese preparations in China and internationally. The company offers digestive system medicines; cardiovascular and cerebrovascular medicines; kidney-tonifying and urine-reducing medicines; trauma medicines; diagnostic medicines, etc.

Full company description

Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of traditional Chinese preparations in China and internationally. The company offers digestive system medicines; cardiovascular and cerebrovascular medicines; kidney-tonifying and urine-reducing medicines; trauma medicines; diagnostic medicines, etc. It provides medicines in injection, mixture, tablet, capsule, granule, syrup, decoction, tincture, and pill forms. Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. is based in Yiyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of ¥1.0B in FY2025 versus ¥892M in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥198M in FY2025, compounding +10.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.7%
Revenue +3.9%/yr
FY21 ¥892M
FY22 ¥916M
FY23 ¥956M
FY24 ¥1.0B
FY25 ¥1.0B
Net income +10.1%/yr
FY21 ¥135M
FY22 ¥168M
FY23 ¥205M
FY24 ¥220M
FY25 ¥198M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +6.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.5 pp

of which total revenue +3.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +3.0 pp
Tax rate +0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002412

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 623 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.27× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.93× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 46 · sector 6
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 39 · sector 24
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 95 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co (002412) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.95 versus a price of ¥7.27, about +9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002412?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co is ¥7.95 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.27.
What is the quality score of 002412?
Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co (002412)?
Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002412?
The net profit margin of Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co is about 21.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co pay a dividend?
Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.77% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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