Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co (002444) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 37.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥36.58 to ¥35.72 (−2.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −9.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 19% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (¥21.46 to ¥48.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from ¥21.46 (bear) to ¥48.22 (bull), base ¥35.72. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.77 – ¥38.88 · fair‑value band ¥21.46 – ¥48.22 · the ¥30.04 price screens below the ¥35.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co (002444) currently trades at ¥30.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥35.72, implying the stock looks roughly 18.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co generated revenue of 14.8B CNY at a net margin of 17.4%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥21.46 (bear case) to ¥48.22 (bull case); at ¥30.04, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at 19%, 002444 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥46.37) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co., Ltd engages in research and development, production, and sales of hand, power, and industrial tools in China and internationally.
Full company description
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co., Ltd engages in research and development, production, and sales of hand, power, and industrial tools in China and internationally. The company offers mechanic tools, pneumatic tools, laser tools/LIDAR, tool storage, vacuum cleaners, and labor protection products under the ARROW, SK, shop.vac, BeA, LISTA, DuraTech, Goldblatt, WORKPRO, PONY JORGENSEN, EverBrite, PREXIS0, OLEI, SWEISS+TECH, PRIME-LINE, scruis, SHEFFIELD, and TESA TECHNOLOGY brand names. It sells its products through department stores, auto parts and other chain supermarkets, and various industrial users, as well as through domestic and foreign e-commerce platforms. Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co., Ltd was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co reported revenue of ¥14.7B in FY2025 versus ¥10.9B in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.5B in FY2025, compounding +18.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $94.42 | $69.71 | -26% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Shareate Tools Ltd 688257 | ¥82.32 | ¥14.01 | -83% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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