SFS Group AG (SFSN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of SFS Group AG CHF 118, price CHF 138, upside -14.2%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 79.07 – CHF 140.80 · fair‑value band CHF 77.84 – CHF 147.88 · the CHF 137.80 price screens above the CHF 118.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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SFS Group AG supplies precision components and assemblies, mechanical fastening systems, tools, and procurement solutions in Switzerland and internationally. It operates in three segments: Engineered Components, Fastening Systems, and Distribution & Logistics.
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SFS Group AG supplies precision components and assemblies, mechanical fastening systems, tools, and procurement solutions in Switzerland and internationally. It operates in three segments: Engineered Components, Fastening Systems, and Distribution & Logistics. The company offers airbag restraint systems; automation; brake systems; building technology; clip nuts; communication technology; components, assemblies, and complete devices; connections and reinforcements for timber construction; and domestic and kitchen appliances. It also provides fasteners for flat roof and industrial lightweight construction; fasters for inserts; fastening and hinge technology for doors, windows, and glass facades; fastening system for the facade; furniture fittings; hard disk drives; inserts; interior plastics; life-saving fall protection; lifestyle electronics; mobile devices; sensors; seats and doors; powertrain; powertrain technology; snap and click system; tools, forestry, and garden equipment; wire and hypo tubing; and window fittings. In addition, it offers products under the SFS, UNISTEEL, Tegra Medical, GESIPA, TFC, HECO, Hoffmann, GARANT, HOLEX, and other brand names. It serves aircraft, automotive, construction, electronics, medical, and other industries. SFS Group AG was founded in 1928 and is based in Heerbrugg, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
SFS Group AG (SFSN) currently trades at CHF 137.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 118.30, implying the stock looks roughly 16.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of CHF 115.87 per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the CHF 137.80 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 27.59, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: CHF 77.84 (bear) to CHF 147.88 (bull), the price of CHF 137.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
SFS Group AG reported revenue of CHF 3.1B in FY2025 versus CHF 1.9B in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 219M in FY2025, compounding −2.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 5.4B · P/E ratio 24.5 · P/S ratio 1.75 · EPS (TTM) CHF 5.63 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 7.1% · Return on equity 13.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −14%, SFSN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear CHF 77.84Fair Value CHF 118.30Bull CHF 147.88
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 2.66 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.92/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1% vs 6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.8% a year for the price and +1.9% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (38 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 126 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−15% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.23× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SFS Group AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SFSN
Frequently asked questions
Is SFS Group AG (SFSN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 118.30 versus a price of CHF 137.80, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SFSN?
Our model-based fair value for SFS Group AG is CHF 118.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 137.80.
What is the quality score of SFSN?
SFS Group AG has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 118.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 77.84, optimistic scenario CHF 147.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SFS Group AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 118.30, about −14% upside versus a price of CHF 137.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 77.84, optimistic scenario CHF 147.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
SFS Group AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 3.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does SFS Group AG pay a dividend?
SFS Group AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.45% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SFS Group AG would have to grow free cash flow by +7.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SFSN use?
Our models discount SFS Group AG at 8.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.73, country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SFS Group AG that is +7.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SFS Group AG (SFSN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SFS Group AG grew +12.5 % a year. The price currently implies +7.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SFS Group AG (SFSN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SFS Group AG (+7.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.11 %: that much free cash flow SFS Group AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SFS Group AG it is CHF 118.30 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of CHF 137.80. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SFS Group AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SFSN trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 137.80, fair value CHF 118.30, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SFSN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 137.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 118.30). For SFS Group AG the two are CHF 19.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SFS Group AG worth?
The market values SFS Group AG at about CHF 5.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is CHF 137.80; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 118.30 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SFSN?
Our models span a range for SFS Group AG: cautious scenario CHF 77.84, base CHF 118.30, optimistic CHF 147.88 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price CHF 137.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SFSN?
SFS Group AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 118.30 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.1, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 14.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
Balance-sheet figures for SFS Group AG (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.9%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SFSN from its 52-week high?
SFS Group AG trades at CHF 137.80, about 2% below its 52-week high of CHF 140.80 and 42% above the low of CHF 97.38 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 118.30 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SFS Group AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, RBC Bearings Incorporated, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SFS Group AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price CHF 137.80, calculated fair value CHF 118.30 (−14%), Quality Score 70/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SFSN calculated?
We run SFS Group AG through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 118.30, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. SFS Group AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was CHF 137.80. Our model-based fair value is CHF 118.30, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SFS Group AG right now?
A fairly wide model range (CHF 77.84 to CHF 147.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of SFS Group AG (SFSN) come from?
Earnings per share at SFS Group AG grew +8.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.5 %, EBIT margin +1.8 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of SFS Group AG
How large is the market capitalisation of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
The market capitalisation of SFS Group AG is CHF 5.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SFS Group AG is 1.75 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
Earnings per share at SFS Group AG are CHF 5.63 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
The dividend yield of SFS Group AG is 1.5% (payout 35.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
The net margin of SFS Group AG is 7.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SFS Group AG is 13.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SFS Group AG is 13.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
The operating margin of SFS Group AG is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
Revenue at SFS Group AG is growing +1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SFS Group AG (SFSN)?
Earnings per share at SFS Group AG are growing −13.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SFS Group AG (SFSN) carry?
The net debt of SFS Group AG is CHF 165M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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