The Toro Company (TTC) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $9.0B
The Toro Company
TTC · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $68.48 to $69.71 (+1.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($87.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $61.99 – $109.38 · fair‑value band $52.28 – $87.13 · the $98.23 price screens above the $69.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
The Toro Company (TTC) currently trades at $98.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.71, implying the stock looks roughly 29.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Toro Company generated revenue of $4.7B at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.9%. Net debt stands at $681M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $52.28 (bear case) to $87.13 (bull case); at $98.23, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at -29%, TTC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($71.75) versus Asset-Based ($10.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Toro Company provides professional turf maintenance equipment and services. It operates through Professional and Residential segments.
Full company description
The Toro Company provides professional turf maintenance equipment and services. It operates through Professional and Residential segments. It offers riding and walking mowers, greens rollers, all-wheel drive articulating tractors, turf sprayer, utility vehicles, aeration, bunker maintenance, and other turf equipment; sprinkler heads, controllers, turf sensors, valves, and operating software; and riding rotary and reel mowers and attachments, infield grooming equipment, multipurpose vehicles, debris management products, all-wheel drive articulating tractors, sidewalk snow and ice solution vehicles, and related attachments and accessories. The company also provides zero-turn radius riding mowers, walk behind and stand-on mowers, turf application and renovation, tree care, horizontal directional drills, and drilling guidance and support equipment; walk and ride trenchers, vacuum excavators, utility locators and inspection systems, pipe rehabilitation, and replacement solutions; drive chucks and sub savers, drill pipe, starter rods and quick connects, bits and blades, rock tools, reamers, and swivels; and snow removal and ice management solutions. In addition, it offers rotors, sprinkler bodies and nozzles, valves, drip tubing and subsurface irrigation, and electric control devices; wired and wireless rain, freeze, climate, and soil sensors; drip tape, polyethylene tubing, drip line, emitters, filters, fitting, and software related solutions; stand-on skid steers, walk-behind trenchers, stump grinders, material handlers, and other concrete construction equipment; walk power and zero-turn riding mowers, and snow throwers; and grass and hedge trimmers, blower-vacuums, chainsaws, edgers, cultivators, string mowers, and related parts and accessories. The company sells its products through distributors, dealers, mass retailers, hardware retailers, equipment rental and home centers, and online. The company was founded in 1914 and is headquartered in Bloomington, Minnesota.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Toro Company reported revenue of $4.5B in FY2025 versus $4.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was $316M in FY2025, compounding −6.3%/yr from FY2021.
TTC screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Toro (TTC) Upgraded to Buy: Here's What You Should Know
- The Toro Company Elects President and Chief Operating Officer Edric C. Funk to Succeed Richard M. Olson as Chief Executive Officer as Part o
- Some May Be Optimistic About Toro's (NYSE:TTC) Earnings
- Reflecting On Agricultural Machinery Stocks’ Q1 Earnings: The Toro Company (NYSE:TTC)
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥29.33 | ¥35.72 | +22% |
| Shareate Tools Ltd 688257 | ¥82.32 | ¥14.01 | -83% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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