GCL System Integration Technology Co (002506) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 19.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥0.5800 to ¥2.75 (+374.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −2.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥1.97 (bear) to ¥3.54 (bull), base ¥2.75. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 38/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.75 – ¥6.07 · fair‑value band ¥1.97 – ¥3.54 · the ¥2.68 price screens below the ¥2.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
GCL System Integration Technology Co (002506) currently trades at ¥2.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.75, implying the stock looks roughly 2.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, GCL System Integration Technology Co generated revenue of 14.1B CNY at a net margin of -8.2%. Revenue declined 38.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -75.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 804M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.97 (bear case) to ¥3.54 (bull case); at ¥2.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 3%, 002506 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.13) versus Asset-Based (¥0.1300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GCL System Integration Technology Co., Ltd. provides comprehensive energy systems in China and internationally. It offers PV modules, utility scale ESS, and utility EMS modules; and C and I and utility solutions.
Full company description
GCL System Integration Technology Co., Ltd. provides comprehensive energy systems in China and internationally. It offers PV modules, utility scale ESS, and utility EMS modules; and C and I and utility solutions. The company's portfolio covers wind power, PV power, energy storage, hydrogen energy, and optimization of source grid-oad-storage topology of new-energy network. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Suzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GCL System Integration Technology Co reported revenue of ¥15.3B in FY2025 versus ¥4.7B in FY2021, a compound +34.4%/yr. Reported net income was −¥1.2B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Solar · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Solar, Inc FSLR | $221.03 | $284.45 | +29% |
| Nextpower Inc NXT | $111.50 | $69.61 | -38% |
| Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER | ₹2,923 | ₹3,613 | +24% |
| Tongwei Co 600438 | ¥13.08 | ¥12.13 | -7% |
| Jinko Solar Co 688223 | ¥4.39 | ¥4.75 | +8% |
| Hengdian Group 002056 | ¥21.64 | ¥22.76 | +5% |
| CSI Solar Co 688472 | ¥10.11 | ¥7.01 | -31% |
| Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH | $44.83 | $22.20 | -50% |
| Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE | ₹1,086 | ₹912.32 | -16% |
| Trina Solar Co 688599 | ¥12.98 | ¥7.97 | -39% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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