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Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group (002507) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 13.5B CNY

CF Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group 002507 · SHE
Price¥11.46
Fair Value¥12.60
Upside+10.0%
Quality67/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 31.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.57% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥8.54 – ¥17.28 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +3.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥8.54 to ¥17.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥35.88 ¥10.80 Fair Value ¥12.60 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.80 – ¥35.88 · fair‑value band ¥8.54 – ¥17.28 · the ¥11.46 price screens below the ¥12.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group (002507) currently trades at ¥11.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.60, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of 31.1%. Revenue grew 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.54 (bear case) to ¥17.28 (bull case); at ¥11.46, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 10%, 002507 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.99 ¥7.23 ¥9.04 80
Residual Income ¥6.57 ¥7.13 ¥8.75 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.74 ¥7.08 ¥8.65 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.95 ¥7.37 ¥9.57 38
Owner Earnings ¥8.15 ¥10.85 ¥15.03 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.74 ¥7.08 ¥8.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.42 ¥14.04 ¥19.53 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥10.48 ¥16.05 ¥21.99 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.73 ¥6.97 ¥8.66 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.15 ¥11.84 ¥16.94 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥8.83 ¥13.24 ¥18.84 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.53 ¥14.81 ¥19.79 54
Lynch FV ¥3.32 ¥4.75 ¥6.17 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.32 ¥4.75 ¥6.17 46
EPV ¥9.89 ¥10.95 ¥11.88 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.86 ¥8.02 ¥12.72 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.86 ¥6.52 ¥8.42 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.48 ¥13.98 ¥17.47 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.53 ¥3.37 ¥4.22 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.49 ¥11.31 ¥14.14 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.63 ¥17.01 ¥20.38 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.18 ¥15.07 ¥17.96 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.72 ¥6.67 ¥7.62 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.85 ¥5.16 ¥7.70 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.99 ¥7.23 ¥9.04 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.74 ¥7.08 ¥8.65 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.57 ¥7.13 ¥8.75 76
ROIC Compounder ¥10.34 ¥12.26 ¥14.60 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.82 ¥12.60 ¥16.38 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥12.60) versus Earnings-Based (¥4.75). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.7%
Net margin 31.1%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow 245M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 17.4
More key figures
Operating margin 38.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6700
Dividend yield 3.6%
Net cash 3.3B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells convenience foods in China. The company offers pickled mustard tuber and pickled mustard tuber sauce, rice dishes, kimchi, condiments, seasonings, kelp shreds, seasoned vegetable, chili sauce, sesame sauce, minced garlic and ginger, mustard soy sauce, and various appetizers …

Full company description

Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells convenience foods in China. The company offers pickled mustard tuber and pickled mustard tuber sauce, rice dishes, kimchi, condiments, seasonings, kelp shreds, seasoned vegetable, chili sauce, sesame sauce, minced garlic and ginger, mustard soy sauce, and various appetizers under the Wujiang and Kaiweishuo brands. It also exports its products. Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Chongqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group reported revenue of ¥2.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥768M in FY2025, compounding +0.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+10.1%
Revenue −0.9%/yr
FY21 ¥2.5B
FY22 ¥2.5B
FY23 ¥2.4B
FY24 ¥2.4B
FY25 ¥2.4B
Net income +0.9%/yr
FY21 ¥742M
FY22 ¥899M
FY23 ¥827M
FY24 ¥799M
FY25 ¥768M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002507

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.52× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 29
FUTURE 29 · sector 19
PAST 34 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 71 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group (002507) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.60 versus a price of ¥11.46, about +10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 002507?
Our model-based fair value for Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group is ¥12.60 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥11.46.
What is the quality score of 002507?
Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group (002507)?
Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002507?
The net profit margin of Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group is about 31.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group pay a dividend?
Chongqing Fuling Zhacai Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.57% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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