JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd ¥1.58, price ¥7.03, upside -77.5%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.58 – ¥15.79 · fair‑value band ¥1.24 – ¥2.05 · the ¥7.03 price screens above the ¥1.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd. engages in heat treatment equipment businesses in China. It offers smart electronic taxation bureau and tax-enterprise connection platform.
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JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd. engages in heat treatment equipment businesses in China. It offers smart electronic taxation bureau and tax-enterprise connection platform. The company also manufactures and sells atmosphere furnace, vacuum furnace, sensing devices, non-atmosphere heating equipment, plasma equipment, software, and auxiliary equipment, as well as provides processing, after-sales, technical, and consultation services. It serves aerospace, automotive, construction machinery, rail transportation, chemical machinery, and basic mechanical components industries. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Fengdong Thermal Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd. in May 2017. JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is based in Yancheng, China.
Stock analysis
JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530) currently trades at ¥7.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.58, implying the stock looks roughly 344.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥1.82 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥7.03 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.6000, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥1.24 (bear) to ¥2.05 (bull), the price of ¥7.03 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 1.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was 64.9M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 6.0B CNY (≈ $888M) · P/E ratio 87.9 · P/S ratio 5.48 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0800 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 6.2% · Return on equity 6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −78%, 002530 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.0700 to ¥3.66). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥1.24Fair Value ¥1.58Bull ¥2.05
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0396 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−127.8% (2020) → 10.9% (2025)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+53.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +50.8% a year for the price.
Compare JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 827 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside−78% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)87.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.47× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)5.42× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF26.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA29.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)25· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)7· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.58 versus a price of ¥7.03, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002530?
Our model-based fair value for JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd is ¥1.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.03.
What is the quality score of 002530?
JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.24, optimistic scenario ¥2.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.58, about −78% upside versus a price of ¥7.03 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.24, optimistic scenario ¥2.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.37% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +53.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002530 use?
Our models discount JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd that is +53.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd grew +0.6 % a year. The price currently implies +53.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (+53.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.62 %: that much free cash flow JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd it is ¥1.58 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥7.03. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002530 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.03, fair value ¥1.58, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002530?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.58). For JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd the two are ¥5.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd at about 6.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.03; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002530?
Our models span a range for JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.24, base ¥1.58, optimistic ¥2.05 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥7.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002530?
JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 87.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.58 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.5, P/S 5.4, EV/EBITDA 29.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
Balance-sheet figures for JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.4%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002530 from its 52-week high?
JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd trades at ¥7.03, about 41% below its 52-week high of ¥11.82 and 7% above the low of ¥6.54 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥7.03, calculated fair value ¥1.58 (−78%), Quality Score 62/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002530 calculated?
We run JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.58, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥7.03. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.58, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
The market capitalisation of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd is 6.0B CNY (≈ $888M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd is 5.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
Earnings per share at JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd are ¥0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 87.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
The dividend yield of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd is 0.4% (payout 32.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
The net margin of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd is 6.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd is −3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
The operating margin of JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
Revenue at JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd is growing +25.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530)?
Earnings per share at JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd are growing +16.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd (002530) hold?
JC Finance & Tax Interconnect Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, 115M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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