China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group (002542) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +23.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥0.4400 to ¥1.34). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.13 – ¥6.82 · fair‑value band ¥0.4400 – ¥1.34 · the ¥1.71 price screens above the ¥0.8900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group (002542) currently trades at ¥1.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8900, implying the stock looks roughly 48.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 939M CNY. Revenue declined 51.4% year over year. Net debt stands at 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4400 (bear case) to ¥1.34 (bull case); at ¥1.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -48%, 002542 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Notify me when 002542 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group Co., Ltd. engages in the engineering, general aviation, cultural tourism, investment, and other businesses in China and internationally.
Full company description
China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group Co., Ltd. engages in the engineering, general aviation, cultural tourism, investment, and other businesses in China and internationally. The company offers engineering services comprising planning, consulting, surveying, design, construction, supervision, testing, and monitoring services for municipal infrastructure, airports, subways, oil and gas, petrochemicals, and ports construction applications, as well as geotechnical engineering services; municipal engineering services for roads, bridges, and underground pipe networks; airport runway engineering services, which includes airport maintenance; underground engineering services, such as foundation pit support, underground continuous wall, shield tunnel, and engineering machinery manufacturing; and diaphragm wall, underground space development, and foundation treatment services. It also provides civil aviation airport engineering consulting, planning and design, project investment and management, engineering construction, operation, and maintenance; and business charter flights, aerial sightseeing and photography, aerial surveying, aerial patrols, agricultural and forestry operations, pilot training, emergency rescue, aircraft management and leasing, sales, exhibition, and maintenance services, as well as owns and operates general aviation companies and airports. In addition, the company engages in the planning, design, investment, development, and construction of cultural and tourism characteristic towns, theme parks, general aviation towns, and other projects; and investments in emerging industries. Further, it is involved in project construction; culture and art; equipment leasing; professional and technical services; technology promotion and application services; and geotechnical design studies activities. China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group reported revenue of ¥1.0B in FY2025 versus ¥5.2B in FY2021, a compound −33.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥951M in FY2025.
002542 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
Compare China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group (002542) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 002542?
What is the quality score of 002542?
What is the revenue of China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group (002542)?
What is the net profit margin of 002542?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.