Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD (002550) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · CN · Market cap 7.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +6.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (¥2.75 to ¥5.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.97 – ¥11.98 · fair‑value band ¥2.75 – ¥5.85 · the ¥7.04 price screens above the ¥4.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD (002550) currently trades at ¥7.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.10, implying the stock looks roughly 41.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 21.8%. Revenue declined 20.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 420M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.75 (bear case) to ¥5.85 (bull case); at ¥7.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -42%, 002550 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥5.71) versus Asset-Based (¥1.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD manufactures and distributes polysaccharide and protease drugs in China. The company offers heparin sodium, heparin calcium, enoxaparin sodium, dalteparin sodium, nadroparin calcium, pancreatin, heparinoid API, kallidinogenase, and asparaginase.
Full company description
Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD manufactures and distributes polysaccharide and protease drugs in China. The company offers heparin sodium, heparin calcium, enoxaparin sodium, dalteparin sodium, nadroparin calcium, pancreatin, heparinoid API, kallidinogenase, and asparaginase. It also provides low molecular weight heparin, compound digestive enzyme preparations, and health products. In addition, the company exports its products. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Changzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥1.9B in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥399M in FY2025, compounding +21.8%/yr from FY2021.
002550 screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥53.19 | ¥25.94 | -51% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,933 | ₹989.50 | -49% |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹7,316 | ₹1,943 | -73% |
| Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM | ₹4,763 | ₹1,329 | -72% |
| PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 | 1,285 TWD | 221.01 TWD | -83% |
| Cipla Limited CIPLA | ₹1,439 | ₹1,001 | -30% |
| Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE | ₹1,151 | ₹703.32 | -39% |
| Lupin Limited LUPIN | ₹2,443 | ₹2,477 | +1% |
| Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND | ₹2,484 | ₹983.11 | -60% |
| Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY | ₹1,211 | ₹874.79 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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