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Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD (002550) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 7.4B CNY

CQ Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD 002550 · SHE
Price¥7.04
Fair Value¥4.10
Upside-41.8%
Quality73/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 21.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.54% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.75 – ¥5.85 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +6.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.75 to ¥5.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥11.98 ¥2.97 Fair Value ¥4.10 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.97 – ¥11.98 · fair‑value band ¥2.75 – ¥5.85 · the ¥7.04 price screens above the ¥4.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD (002550) currently trades at ¥7.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.10, implying the stock looks roughly 41.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 21.8%. Revenue declined 20.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 420M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.75 (bear case) to ¥5.85 (bull case); at ¥7.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -42%, 002550 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.20 ¥2.93 ¥3.90 80
Residual Income ¥2.10 ¥2.62 ¥5.90 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.44 ¥3.65 ¥4.97 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.16 ¥2.96 ¥4.09 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.00 ¥4.18 ¥5.83 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.44 ¥3.64 ¥5.14 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.85 ¥4.38 ¥6.11 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.89 ¥6.25 ¥8.65 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.25 ¥3.29 ¥4.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.57 ¥3.78 ¥5.32 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.20 ¥5.03 ¥7.16 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.12 ¥5.52 ¥7.20 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.05 ¥1.50 ¥1.95 46
EPV ¥2.30 ¥2.60 ¥2.86 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.03 ¥1.99 ¥3.11 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.03 ¥1.56 ¥2.10 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.14 ¥6.86 ¥8.57 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.22 ¥4.30 ¥5.37 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.97 ¥5.30 ¥6.62 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.70 ¥4.80 ¥5.90 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.65 ¥4.74 ¥5.83 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.75 ¥3.76 ¥4.77 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.08 ¥1.45 ¥2.16 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.20 ¥2.93 ¥3.90 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.44 ¥3.65 ¥4.97 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.10 ¥2.62 ¥5.90 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.33 ¥2.76 ¥3.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.00 ¥5.71 ¥7.42 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥5.71) versus Asset-Based (¥1.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -20.6%
Net margin 21.8%
Return on equity 10.9%
Free cash flow 220M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 22.4
More key figures
Operating margin 29.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2600
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -47.4%
Net cash 420M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD manufactures and distributes polysaccharide and protease drugs in China. The company offers heparin sodium, heparin calcium, enoxaparin sodium, dalteparin sodium, nadroparin calcium, pancreatin, heparinoid API, kallidinogenase, and asparaginase.

Full company description

Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD manufactures and distributes polysaccharide and protease drugs in China. The company offers heparin sodium, heparin calcium, enoxaparin sodium, dalteparin sodium, nadroparin calcium, pancreatin, heparinoid API, kallidinogenase, and asparaginase. It also provides low molecular weight heparin, compound digestive enzyme preparations, and health products. In addition, the company exports its products. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Changzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥1.9B in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥399M in FY2025, compounding +21.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+10.0%
Revenue −4.3%/yr
FY21 ¥1.9B
FY22 ¥2.3B
FY23 ¥1.8B
FY24 ¥1.5B
FY25 ¥1.6B
Net income +21.8%/yr
FY21 ¥181M
FY22 ¥323M
FY23 ¥182M
FY24 ¥356M
FY25 ¥399M

002550 screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002550

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -21% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.69× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 22.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 7
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 43 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 51 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD (002550) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.10 versus a price of ¥7.04, about −42% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002550?
Our model-based fair value for Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD is ¥4.10 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.04.
What is the quality score of 002550?
Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD (002550)?
Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002550?
The net profit margin of Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD is about 21.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 21.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD pay a dividend?
Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.54% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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