China Western Power Industrial Co (002630) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price −0.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.9700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (¥0.4400 to ¥0.9700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.60 – ¥5.71 · fair‑value band ¥0.4400 – ¥0.9700 · the ¥1.67 price screens above the ¥0.8300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
China Western Power Industrial Co (002630) currently trades at ¥1.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8300, implying the stock looks roughly 50.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Western Power Industrial Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of -27.0%. Revenue declined 69.1% year over year. Net debt stands at 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4400 (bear case) to ¥0.9700 (bull case); at ¥1.67, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -50%, 002630 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥0.7900) versus Multiples (¥0.3300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Western Power Industrial Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells boilers in China. Its products include energy-saving, coal-fired, alkali recovery, waste incineration power generation, biomass power generation, blast furnace tail gas power generation, gas, oil sludge, waste heat, special, and industrial boilers, as well as pressure vessels.
Full company description
China Western Power Industrial Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells boilers in China. Its products include energy-saving, coal-fired, alkali recovery, waste incineration power generation, biomass power generation, blast furnace tail gas power generation, gas, oil sludge, waste heat, special, and industrial boilers, as well as pressure vessels. The company is also involved in the EPC general contracting for power plants; BTG general contracting for power stations; and other power engineering construction general contracting, municipal public works construction general contracting, etc. In addition, it engages in the equity investment; BOT project; PPP project investment construction and operation; and power plant investment construction operations. China Western Power Industrial Co., Ltd. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Zigong, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Western Power Industrial Co reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥287M in FY2025.
002630 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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