Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut ¥4.76, price ¥9.22, upside -48.4%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.75 – ¥38.37 · fair‑value band ¥2.95 – ¥6.57 · the ¥9.22 price screens above the ¥4.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
Follow Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, production, and sale of pharmaceutical injections, solid preparations, and raw materials in China and internationally. The company offers products for oncology and immune, alimentary canal, heart and cerebral, and vessels and metabolism.
Show more
Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, production, and sale of pharmaceutical injections, solid preparations, and raw materials in China and internationally. The company offers products for oncology and immune, alimentary canal, heart and cerebral, and vessels and metabolism. It also provides Bivalirudin, Epitifibatide, and Thymalfaxin for injection; Pregabalin capsule; and Memantine Hydrochloride tablets and Pioglitazone tablets USP. Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Haikou, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693) currently trades at ¥9.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.76, 48.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥0.8600 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥9.22 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.6700, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥2.95 (bear) to ¥6.57 (bull), the price of ¥9.22 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut reported revenue of 277M CNY in FY2025 versus 320M CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 19.0M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.8B CNY (≈ $571M) · P/E ratio 70.9 · P/S ratio 4.88 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1300 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −48%, 002693 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.1300 to ¥1.65). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥2.95Fair Value ¥4.76Bull ¥6.57
Price ¥9.22 · Upside -48.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0987 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+58.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.8% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.4%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5.2% vs −10.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−29% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+61.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +58.5% a year for the price.
Compare Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 591 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−48.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.0% · Above median
Return on assets6.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)25.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)15.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth44.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)70.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B9.27× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)18.90× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF216.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA57.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)40· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 31
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.76 versus a price of ¥9.22, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002693?
Our model-based fair value for Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut is ¥4.76 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.22.
What is the quality score of 002693?
Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.76 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.95, optimistic scenario ¥6.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.76, about −48% upside versus a price of ¥9.22 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.95, optimistic scenario ¥6.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 310M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut pay a dividend?
Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.19% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut would have to grow free cash flow by +61.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.5 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002693 use?
Our models discount Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.48, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut that is +61.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut grew +0.5 % a year. The price currently implies +61.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (+61.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.46 %: that much free cash flow Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut it is ¥4.76 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of ¥9.22. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, 002693 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.22, fair value ¥4.76, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002693?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.76). For Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut the two are ¥4.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut worth?
The market values Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut at about 3.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.22; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002693?
Our models span a range for Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut: cautious scenario ¥2.95, base ¥4.76, optimistic ¥6.57 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price ¥9.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002693?
Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 70.9 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥4.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 9.3, P/S 18.9, EV/EBITDA 57.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 10.0%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002693 from its 52-week high?
Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut trades at ¥9.22, about 21% below its 52-week high of ¥11.61 and 41% above the low of ¥6.52 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Merck KGaA, Takeda Pharmaceutical Company, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited, Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price ¥9.22, calculated fair value ¥4.76 (−48%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002693 calculated?
We run Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥9.22. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.76, about −48% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥2.95 to ¥6.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut
How large is the market capitalisation of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
The market capitalisation of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut is 3.8B CNY (≈ $571M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut is 4.88 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
Earnings per share at Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut are ¥0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 70.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
The dividend yield of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut is 0.2% (payout 13.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
The net margin of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut is 6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut is −5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
The operating margin of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut is 15.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
Revenue at Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut is growing +44.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693)?
Earnings per share at Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut are growing +511% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut (002693) carry?
The net debt of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut is 29.9M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut in the live analysis
One click puts Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
