Baiyang Investment Group (002696) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 1.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥3.23 to ¥2.47 (−23.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +12.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.58 – ¥8.17 · fair‑value band ¥1.85 – ¥3.08 · the ¥6.03 price screens above the ¥2.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Baiyang Investment Group (002696) currently trades at ¥6.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.47, implying the stock looks roughly 59.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Baiyang Investment Group generated revenue of 4.2B CNY at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue grew 24.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.7%. Net debt stands at 520M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.85 (bear case) to ¥3.08 (bull case); at ¥6.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -59%, 002696 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.67) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.38). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Baiyang Investment Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the aquatic product processing and biological products, feed and feed raw materials, and deep-sea fishing businesses in China and internationally. It operates through Feed and Raw Materials, Food Processing, Ocean Fishing, and Biochemical Product segments.
Full company description
Baiyang Investment Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the aquatic product processing and biological products, feed and feed raw materials, and deep-sea fishing businesses in China and internationally. It operates through Feed and Raw Materials, Food Processing, Ocean Fishing, and Biochemical Product segments. The company offers tilapia, shrimp, and grass carp products under the Beifeng and Qiaoyujia brands; aquatic feed products for fish, as well as groupers, California bass, yellow catfish, large yellow croakers, and frogs; and biological products, such as collagen and gelatin for use in health products, cosmetics, beverages, food, and other fields, as well as fish collagen peptide powder and glucosamine chondroitin calcium capsules. It is also involved in aquatic research and development; aquatic fry breeding; trading; offshore fishing; lease; and research and experimental development activities. The company exports its aquatic products to the United States, Russia, Mexico, Canada, the European Union, the Middle East, and other countries and regions. The company was formerly known as Baiyang Aquatic Group, Inc. and changed its name to Baiyang Investment Group, Inc. in November 2015. Baiyang Investment Group, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Nanning, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Baiyang Investment Group reported revenue of ¥4.1B in FY2025 versus ¥2.9B in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥40.6M in FY2025, compounding +10.9%/yr from FY2021.
002696 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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