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MLS Co (002745) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 15.8B CNY

MC MLS Co 002745 · SHE
Price¥11.43
Fair Value¥7.10
Upside-37.9%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -6.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.90 – ¥8.29 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥11.56 to ¥7.10 (−38.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −5.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 38% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥16.91 ¥5.53 Fair Value ¥7.10 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.53 – ¥16.91 · fair‑value band ¥5.90 – ¥8.29 · the ¥11.43 price screens above the ¥7.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

MLS Co (002745) currently trades at ¥11.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.10, implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, MLS Co generated revenue of 18.3B CNY at a net margin of -6.6%. Revenue grew 21.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.90 (bear case) to ¥8.29 (bull case); at ¥11.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -38%, 002745 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥6.62 ¥9.61 ¥14.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.78 ¥7.84 ¥10.58 74
ROIC Compounder ¥4.22 ¥4.43 ¥4.61 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥6.68 ¥10.03 ¥16.08 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.78 ¥7.89 ¥10.77 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.21 ¥17.30 ¥26.53 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.96 ¥8.10 ¥11.45 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.02 ¥15.12 ¥25.02 37
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥4.22 ¥4.43 ¥4.61 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.7900 ¥1.65 ¥2.62 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.7900 ¥1.39 ¥1.73 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥6.54 ¥7.73 ¥8.93 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.45 ¥15.62 ¥18.78 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.37 ¥6.40 ¥7.44 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.89 ¥5.22 ¥7.79 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥6.62 ¥9.61 ¥14.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.78 ¥7.84 ¥10.58 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥4.22 ¥4.43 ¥4.61 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.03) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 18.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.4%
Net margin -6.6%
Return on equity -9.3%
Free cash flow 412M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 3.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.8200
EPS growth (YoY) +180%
Net cash 3.4B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MLS Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures light-emitting diode products in China and internationally. The company offers LED beads, filament, and chip, as well as backlight series and ceramic package; LED display beads-indoor and outdoor, as well as display module; AC/DC power adapter, LED lighting driver power series, and traditional and …

Full company description

MLS Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures light-emitting diode products in China and internationally. The company offers LED beads, filament, and chip, as well as backlight series and ceramic package; LED display beads-indoor and outdoor, as well as display module; AC/DC power adapter, LED lighting driver power series, and traditional and fast charger series; and LED bulb, tube, and strip, as well as rail light, magnetic lamp, downlight, ceiling light, chandelier, and switch products. It also provides magnetic track, wall washer, grille, linear, panel, pendant, and fan lights; rail, aluminum, and PC spotlights, as well as ultra-thin downlights, industrial and mining lamps, and floodlight; microcrystalline, grille, and kindergarten classroom lights, as well as blackboard light; and track spotlights, sensor ceiling light, flexible LED strip, outline lights, and cleanroom lamp. In addition, the company offers handheld UV sterilizer, forest oxygen bar, ceiling-mounted forest oxygen bar, mini air oxygen bar, public space situational awareness device, healthy ceiling deodorizer, multifunctional air purifier, negative ion oxygen generator, air sterilizer, and healthy wall-mounted fresh air system; and intelligent seedling raising factory, circulating intelligent seedling equipment, plant growing compartment, freely combinable planting pot racks, soilless cultivation intelligent system, hydroponic vegetables, grain and forage planting, and mushroom cultivation products. It sells its products under the MLS, Mulinsen, LEDVANCE, Forest Lighting, Guangyuan Shijia, and Kongjing Shijie brand names. The company exports its products. MLS Co., Ltd., was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Zhongshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MLS Co reported revenue of ¥17.4B in FY2025 versus ¥18.6B in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥1.5B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
17.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+25.1%
Revenue −1.6%/yr
FY21 ¥18.6B
FY22 ¥16.5B
FY23 ¥17.5B
FY24 ¥16.9B
FY25 ¥17.4B
Net income
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥194M
FY23 ¥430M
FY24 ¥374M
FY25 −¥1.5B

002745 screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MLS Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002745

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −38% · Above median
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 21% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 32
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MLS Co (002745) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.10 versus a price of ¥11.43, about −38% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002745?
Our model-based fair value for MLS Co is ¥7.10 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥11.43.
What is the quality score of 002745?
MLS Co has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MLS Co (002745)?
MLS Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002745?
The net profit margin of MLS Co is about -6.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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