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Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co (002840) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 6.6B CNY

ZH Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co 002840 · SHE
Price¥8.23
Fair Value¥7.27
Upside-11.7%
Quality22/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -5.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥5.02 – ¥9.52 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +4.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 12% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (¥5.02 to ¥9.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from ¥5.02 (bear) to ¥9.52 (bull), base ¥7.27. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 22/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥24.28 ¥7.08 Fair Value ¥7.27 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.08 – ¥24.28 · fair‑value band ¥5.02 – ¥9.52 · the ¥8.23 price screens above the ¥7.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co (002840) currently trades at ¥8.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.27, implying the stock looks roughly 11.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co generated revenue of 7.9B CNY at a net margin of -5.2%. Revenue declined 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.5%. Net debt stands at 1.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.02 (bear case) to ¥9.52 (bull case); at ¥8.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -12%, 002840 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ¥1.74 ¥1.86 ¥1.96 72
Gordon GGM ¥1.62 ¥3.22 ¥4.88 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.62 ¥2.79 ¥3.40 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥1.74 ¥1.86 ¥1.96 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.62 ¥3.22 ¥4.88 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.62 ¥2.79 ¥3.40 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥2.16 ¥2.55 ¥2.95 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.91 ¥11.55 ¥14.19 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.82 ¥2.18 ¥2.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.39 ¥3.20 ¥4.78 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥1.74 ¥1.86 ¥1.96 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.20) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.86). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.3%
Net margin -5.2%
Return on equity -13.5%
Free cash flow −122M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -7.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.5300
EPS growth (YoY) -8.3%
Net debt 1.6B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co., Ltd. engages in the livestock and poultry slaughtering business. The company operates through: Pig Breeding, Pig Slaughtering, and Deep Processing of Meat Products.

Full company description

Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co., Ltd. engages in the livestock and poultry slaughtering business. The company operates through: Pig Breeding, Pig Slaughtering, and Deep Processing of Meat Products. It is also involved in livestock and poultry slaughtering and processing, livestock and poultry breeding, feed processing, and deep processing of meat products. The company primarily offers feed, fresh pork, fresh poultry, Jinhua ham, and braised product. Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Yiwu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co reported revenue of ¥8.1B in FY2025 versus ¥8.3B in FY2021, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was −¥136M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.1B CNY
Latest YoY
−11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.5%
Revenue −0.8%/yr
FY21 ¥8.3B
FY22 ¥9.5B
FY23 ¥8.6B
FY24 ¥9.1B
FY25 ¥8.1B
Net income
FY21 −¥192M
FY22 ¥87.7M
FY23 −¥605M
FY24 ¥73.0M
FY25 −¥136M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −5.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +13.2 pp

of which total revenue +20.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −7.6 pp

EBIT margin −9.1 pp
Tax rate −0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −8.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

002840 screens 12% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002840

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −12% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.23× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 0.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 18 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 89 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co (002840) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.27 versus a price of ¥8.23, about −12% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002840?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co is ¥7.27 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.23.
What is the quality score of 002840?
Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co (002840)?
Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002840?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Huatong Meat Products Co is about -5.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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