Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation (002905) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 2.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 7, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +5.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.50 – ¥15.44 · fair‑value band ¥1.29 – ¥2.16 · the ¥7.85 price screens above the ¥1.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.
Analysis
Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation (002905) currently trades at ¥7.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.73, implying the stock looks roughly 78.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation generated revenue of 890M CNY at a net margin of -11.1%. Revenue declined 51.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -78.8%. Net debt stands at 1.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.29 (bear case) to ¥2.16 (bull case); at ¥7.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -78%, 002905 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.16) versus Asset-Based (¥0.1500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation engages in the film screening and related businesses in China. It is also involved in theatrical distribution; film and television production; merchandise business; provision of advertising services; and projection equipment and related facilities.
Full company description
Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation engages in the film screening and related businesses in China. It is also involved in theatrical distribution; film and television production; merchandise business; provision of advertising services; and projection equipment and related facilities. The company was formerly known as Guangzhou Jin Yi Movie Investment Group Company Limited and changed its name to Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation in December 2010. Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation was founded in 2004 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥29.5M in FY2025.
002905 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Peer Group
Entertainment · 265 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.77 | C$2.96 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $96.30 | $89.55 | -7% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $26.87 | $9.13 | -66% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $178.44 | $46.89 | -74% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €18.91 | €14.78 | -22% |
| TKO Group TKO | $184.40 | $22.16 | -88% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 60.49 MXN | +10% |
| Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 | ¥11.77 | ¥10.97 | -7% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 456.00 IDR | 221.09 IDR | -52% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹298.25 | ₹63.45 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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