Hefei Lifeon Pharmaceutical Co (003020) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · CN · Market cap 3.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +16.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥7.06 to ¥14.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.98 – ¥31.49 · fair‑value band ¥7.06 – ¥14.56 · the ¥18.43 price screens above the ¥10.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Hefei Lifeon Pharmaceutical Co (003020) currently trades at ¥18.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.97, implying the stock looks roughly 40.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hefei Lifeon Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of 1.6B CNY at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue declined 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 375M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.06 (bear case) to ¥14.56 (bull case); at ¥18.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -40%, 003020 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥13.83) versus Earnings-Based (¥4.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hefei Lifeon Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of pharmaceutical preparations and active pharmaceutical ingredients in China and internationally.
Full company description
Hefei Lifeon Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of pharmaceutical preparations and active pharmaceutical ingredients in China and internationally. The company offers active pharmaceutical ingredients, which includes felodipine, urea, paeonol, doxazosin mesylate, prilocaine, nifedipine, azilsartan kamedoxomil, methylphenidate hydrochloride, dexmethylphenidate HCL, dioctyl sulfosuccinate sodium salt, and DMSA. It also provides intermediate products, such as sodium paeonolsilate, methy2-(2,3-dichlorobenzylidine)-acetoacetate, 3-mercapto-1-propanol, mercaptosuccinic acid and DMPS monohydrate. In addition, it offers nifedipine controlled, doxazosin mesylate, felodipine, trimetazidine dihydrochloride prolonged, and paliperidone release tablets; venlafaxine, methylphenidate, and oxycodone hydrochloride prolonged release tablets; chinese medicines; and proxymetacaine hydrochloride, bendazac lysine, timolol maleate, gatifloxacin, jinzhen, pemirolast potassium, and compound dextran 70 eye drops. Further, it provides paeonol ointment, kecuo yintong gel, compound tujingpi gel, metformin and glipizide tablets, and itraconazole and armillarisin oral solution. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Hefei, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hefei Lifeon Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥2.3B in FY2021, a compound −9.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥165M in FY2025, compounding −1.0%/yr from FY2021.
003020 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 603 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $486.03 | $278.78 | -43% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $664.45 | $594.40 | -11% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,368,000 KRW | 1,091,384 KRW | -20% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 175,800 KRW | 76,325 KRW | -57% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$39.54 | HK$30.42 | -23% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$86.70 | HK$19.66 | -77% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$5.26 | HK$3.36 | -36% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 276,500 KRW | 44,444 KRW | -84% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥134.02 | ¥26.99 | -80% |
| Biocon Limited BIOCON | ₹440.70 | ₹57.36 | -87% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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