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Namyang Dairy Products Co (003920) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · KR · Market cap 332B KRW

ND Namyang Dairy Products Co 003920 · KO
Price44,950 KRW
Fair Value22,089 KRW
Upside-50.9%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.3% net margin
generates free cash flow
3.48% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: High Range 18,354 KRW – 25,823 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +5.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (25,823 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

79,806 KRW 28,063 KRW Fair Value 22,089 KRW Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 28,063 KRW – 79,806 KRW · fair‑value band 18,354 KRW – 25,823 KRW · the 44,950 KRW price screens above the 22,089 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Namyang Dairy Products Co (003920) currently trades at 44,950 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22,089 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 50.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Namyang Dairy Products Co generated revenue of 924B KRW at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.6%. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 18,354 KRW (bear case) to 25,823 KRW (bull case); at 44,950 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -51%, 003920 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 110,710 KRW 102,032 KRW 74,811 KRW 76
Growth DCF 39,491 KRW 52,251 KRW 74,960 KRW 72
Gordon GGM 1,365 KRW 1,502 KRW 1,711 KRW 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 37,911 KRW 50,941 KRW 76,020 KRW 38
Owner Earnings 47,200 KRW 64,165 KRW 96,817 KRW 31
5Y Revenue Exit 23,167 KRW 27,333 KRW 33,322 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 45,527 KRW 66,057 KRW 93,257 KRW 41
5Y P/E Exit 28,788 KRW 37,068 KRW 47,020 KRW 38
10Y Revenue Exit 28,281 KRW 31,945 KRW 35,563 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 42,385 KRW 56,449 KRW 71,575 KRW 37
10Y P/E Exit 31,992 KRW 38,105 KRW 43,794 KRW 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8,209 KRW 10,033 KRW 11,287 KRW 54
EPV 15,059 KRW 16,455 KRW 17,695 KRW 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1,365 KRW 1,502 KRW 1,711 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1,365 KRW 1,743 KRW 2,288 KRW 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 19,013 KRW 25,351 KRW 31,689 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 15,392 KRW 20,522 KRW 25,653 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 15,392 KRW 20,522 KRW 25,653 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 18,354 KRW 22,089 KRW 25,823 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 57,270 KRW 73,977 KRW 90,683 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 15,147 KRW 18,574 KRW 22,001 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 80,594 KRW 107,996 KRW 161,188 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 39,491 KRW 52,251 KRW 74,960 KRW 72
Rev-Margin DCF 23,167 KRW 28,030 KRW 34,331 KRW 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 110,710 KRW 102,032 KRW 74,811 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 15,059 KRW 16,455 KRW 17,695 KRW 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 13,426 KRW 19,180 KRW 24,934 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (107,996 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (1,502 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 924B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.4%
Net margin 1.3%
Return on equity 1.6%
Free cash flow 17.7B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 0.2%
More key figures
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +441%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Namyang Dairy Products Co., Ltd manufactures and sells dairy products in South Korea and internationally. It offers babies products under Imperial Dream XO, Imperial Kid XO, Imperial Mom XO, I am Mother, Star Grow, Blood Crown, Koko Crown Picky Eater, Namyang KI PLUS PREMIUM, Namyang Shanyang Rufen, Hope Allegy, and Hope Doctor brand names.

Full company description

Namyang Dairy Products Co., Ltd manufactures and sells dairy products in South Korea and internationally. It offers babies products under Imperial Dream XO, Imperial Kid XO, Imperial Mom XO, I am Mother, Star Grow, Blood Crown, Koko Crown Picky Eater, Namyang KI PLUS PREMIUM, Namyang Shanyang Rufen, Hope Allegy, and Hope Doctor brand names. It also provides coffee beverages and mixes, yogurt, beverages, cheese, raw and soyabean milk, and whipping cream and creamer; and Namyang KETONIA, a liquid formula for high-fat ketogenic dietary food for infants and young children, as well as real estate services. The company was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea. Namyang Dairy Products Co., Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Hahn & Co. No. 19 Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Namyang Dairy Products Co reported revenue of 914B KRW in FY2025 versus 956B KRW in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 7.1B KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
914B KRW
Latest YoY
−4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.0%
Revenue −1.1%/yr
FY21 956B KRW
FY22 965B KRW
FY23 997B KRW
FY24 953B KRW
FY25 914B KRW
Net income
FY21 −58.9B KRW
FY22 −78.4B KRW
FY23 −66.2B KRW
FY24 250M KRW
FY25 7.1B KRW

003920 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Namyang Dairy Products Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/003920

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −51% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 22 · sector 20
PAST 6 · sector 27
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 70 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Namyang Dairy Products Co (003920) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 22,089 KRW versus a price of 44,950 KRW, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 003920?
Our model-based fair value for Namyang Dairy Products Co is 22,089 KRW (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 44,950 KRW.
What is the quality score of 003920?
Namyang Dairy Products Co has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Namyang Dairy Products Co (003920)?
Namyang Dairy Products Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 924B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 003920?
The net profit margin of Namyang Dairy Products Co is about 1.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Namyang Dairy Products Co pay a dividend?
Namyang Dairy Products Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.28% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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