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Tway Holdings (004870) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · KR · Market cap 5.6B KRW

TH Tway Holdings 004870 · KO
Price1,220 KRW
Fair Value459.60 KRW
Upside-62.3%
Quality41/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -23.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range 342.99 KRW – 685.98 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from 557.60 KRW to 459.60 KRW (−17.6%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price −1.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 62% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (685.98 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (342.99 KRW to 685.98 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,592 KRW 237.00 KRW Fair Value 459.60 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 237.00 KRW – 1,592 KRW · fair‑value band 342.99 KRW – 685.98 KRW · the 1,220 KRW price screens above the 459.60 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Tway Holdings (004870) currently trades at 1,220 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 459.60 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 62.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tway Holdings generated revenue of 250B KRW at a net margin of -23.5%. Revenue grew 59.8% year over year. Net debt stands at 8.5B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 342.99 KRW (bear case) to 685.98 KRW (bull case); at 1,220 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -62%, 004870 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 2,081 KRW 2,788 KRW 4,161 KRW 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2,081 KRW 2,788 KRW 4,161 KRW 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 250B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +59.8%
Net margin -23.5%
Return on equity -193%
Free cash flow −4.0B KRW FY2025
Operating margin -64.6%
More key figures
Net debt 8.5B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tway Holdings Incorporation engages in the manufacturing and distributing PHC piles in South Korea. The company is involved in the manufacturing and sale of building materials, ready-mixed concrete, and aggregates; manufacturing, production, and sale of concrete piles and brick blocks; and consignment and agency business related to aviation.

Full company description

Tway Holdings Incorporation engages in the manufacturing and distributing PHC piles in South Korea. The company is involved in the manufacturing and sale of building materials, ready-mixed concrete, and aggregates; manufacturing, production, and sale of concrete piles and brick blocks; and consignment and agency business related to aviation. It also engages in the manufacturing and sales of in-flight meals; sale of in-flight supplies and travel products; and wholesale and retail business. The company was formerly known as pocketgamez Inc. and changed its name to Tway Holdings Incorporation in April 2013. Tway Holdings Incorporation was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tway Holdings reported revenue of 5.0B KRW in FY2025 versus 227B KRW in FY2021, a compound −61.4%/yr. Reported net income was −55.7B KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.0B KRW
Latest YoY
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−24.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−55.1%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−23.9%
Revenue −61.4%/yr
FY21 227B KRW
FY22 11.5B KRW
FY23 7.8B KRW
FY24 5.2B KRW
FY25 5.0B KRW
Net income
FY21 −76.9B KRW
FY22 76.3B KRW
FY23 4.6B KRW
FY24 −20.8B KRW
FY25 −55.7B KRW

004870 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tway Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/004870

Peer Group

Building Materials · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -65% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 60% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.10× · Lower than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 27
FUTURE 100 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 95 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tway Holdings (004870) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 459.60 KRW versus a price of 1,220 KRW, about −62% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 004870?
Our model-based fair value for Tway Holdings is 459.60 KRW (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,220 KRW.
What is the quality score of 004870?
Tway Holdings has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tway Holdings (004870)?
Tway Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 250B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 004870?
The net profit margin of Tway Holdings is about -23.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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