Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Concord New Energy Group Ltd HK$0.45, price HK$0.31, upside +47.5%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2313 – HK$0.7795 · fair‑value band HK$0.3100 – HK$0.5700 · the HK$0.3050 price screens below the HK$0.4500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Concord New Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the power generation business in the People's Republic of China, North America, Europe, Oceania, Southeast Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Power Generation and Other segments.
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Concord New Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the power generation business in the People's Republic of China, North America, Europe, Oceania, Southeast Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Power Generation and Other segments. The Power generation segment is involved in the operation of wind and solar power plants, investing in power plants, and generating electric power for sale to external power grid companies. The Others segment provides design, technical and consultancy services, undertaking electrical engineering and construction of power plant projects, and stock finance lease services. It also engages in the operation and investment of wind power plants and photovoltaic power plants, as well as sale of solar power equipment and new energy equipment. The company was formerly known as China Windpower Group Limited and changed its name to Concord New Energy Group Limited in March 2015. Concord New Energy Group Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Singapore.
Stock analysis
Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182) currently trades at HK$0.3050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4500, implying the stock looks roughly 32.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.7300 per share, and 8 of the 12 models we run sit above the HK$0.3050 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.2800, and 4 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.3100 (bear) to HK$0.5700 (bull), the price of HK$0.3050 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Concord New Energy Group Ltd reported revenue of 2.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 140M CNY in FY2025, compounding −35.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$3.1B (≈ $393M) · P/E ratio 19.8 · P/S ratio 1.08 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0400 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 48%, 0182 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.3100Fair Value HK$0.4500Bull HK$0.5700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0272 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.5% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−2.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−26% vs −9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.46% → 30%
Compare Concord New Energy Group Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 207 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Below median
Fair Value upside+48% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)22% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.92× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Concord New Energy Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0182
Frequently asked questions
Is Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4500 versus a price of HK$0.3050, about +48% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0182?
Our model-based fair value for Concord New Energy Group Ltd is HK$0.4500 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3050.
What is the quality score of 0182?
Concord New Energy Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4500 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3100, optimistic scenario HK$0.5700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Concord New Energy Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4500, about +48% upside versus a price of HK$0.3050 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3100, optimistic scenario HK$0.5700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
Concord New Energy Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Concord New Energy Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Concord New Energy Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.98% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Concord New Energy Group Ltd it is HK$0.4500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3050. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Concord New Energy Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0182 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3050, fair value HK$0.4500, a gap of about +48% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0182?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4500). For Concord New Energy Group Ltd the two are HK$0.1450 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Concord New Energy Group Ltd worth?
The market values Concord New Energy Group Ltd at about HK$3.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3050; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0182?
Our models span a range for Concord New Energy Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.3100, base HK$0.4500, optimistic HK$0.5700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.3050). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0182?
Concord New Energy Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.4500 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 10.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
Balance-sheet figures for Concord New Energy Group Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.8%, debt of 1.92 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0182 from its 52-week high?
Concord New Energy Group Ltd trades at HK$0.3050, about 35% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4715 and 32% above the low of HK$0.2313 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Concord New Energy Group Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Concord New Energy Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.3050, calculated fair value HK$0.4500 (+48%), Quality Score 40/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0182 calculated?
We run Concord New Energy Group Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Concord New Energy Group Ltd currently trades 48 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.3050. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4500, about +48% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Concord New Energy Group Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3100 to HK$0.5700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182) come from?
Earnings per share at Concord New Energy Group Ltd grew +6.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.6 %, EBIT margin +13.3 %, tax rate −0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Concord New Energy Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
The market capitalisation of Concord New Energy Group Ltd is HK$3.1B (≈ $393M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Concord New Energy Group Ltd is 1.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
Earnings per share at Concord New Energy Group Ltd are HK$0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
The dividend yield of Concord New Energy Group Ltd is 1.0% (payout 7.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
The net margin of Concord New Energy Group Ltd is 5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Concord New Energy Group Ltd is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Concord New Energy Group Ltd is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
The operating margin of Concord New Energy Group Ltd is 22.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
Revenue at Concord New Energy Group Ltd is growing −8.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182)?
Earnings per share at Concord New Energy Group Ltd are growing −42.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182) generate?
The free cash flow of Concord New Energy Group Ltd is −700M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Concord New Energy Group Ltd (0182) carry?
The net debt of Concord New Energy Group Ltd is 17.7B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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