Concord New Energy Group (0182) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · HK · Market cap HK$3.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.4400 to HK$0.4500 (+2.3%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price −11.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 41% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.3100 to HK$0.5800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2313 – HK$0.7795 · fair‑value band HK$0.3100 – HK$0.5800 · the HK$0.3200 price screens below the HK$0.4500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Concord New Energy Group (0182) currently trades at HK$0.3200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4500, implying the stock looks roughly 40.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Concord New Energy Group generated revenue of HK$2.5B at a net margin of 5.5%. Revenue declined 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at HK$17.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3100 (bear case) to HK$0.5800 (bull case); at HK$0.3200, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 41%, 0182 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.7300) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.2800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Concord New Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the power generation business in the People's Republic of China, North America, Europe, Oceania, Southeast Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Power Generation and Other segments.
Full company description
Concord New Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the power generation business in the People's Republic of China, North America, Europe, Oceania, Southeast Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Power Generation and Other segments. The Power generation segment is involved in the operation of wind and solar power plants, investing in power plants, and generating electric power for sale to external power grid companies. The Others segment provides design, technical and consultancy services, undertaking electrical engineering and construction of power plant projects, and stock finance lease services. It also engages in the operation and investment of wind power plants and photovoltaic power plants, as well as sale of solar power equipment and new energy equipment. The company was formerly known as China Windpower Group Limited and changed its name to Concord New Energy Group Limited in March 2015. Concord New Energy Group Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Concord New Energy Group reported revenue of HK$2.5B in FY2025 versus HK$2.2B in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$140M in FY2025, compounding −35.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −1.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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