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Seoul Pharma Co (018680) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · KR · Market cap 23.8B KRW

SP Seoul Pharma Co 018680 · KQ
Price1,987 KRW
Fair Value904.94 KRW
Upside-54.5%
Quality53/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 17/100
Evidence: High Range 678.71 KRW – 1,131 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 19 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −11.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,131 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

11,650 KRW 1,978 KRW Fair Value 904.94 KRW Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,978 KRW – 11,650 KRW · fair‑value band 678.71 KRW – 1,131 KRW · the 1,987 KRW price screens above the 904.94 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Seoul Pharma Co (018680) currently trades at 1,987 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 904.94 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 54.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Seoul Pharma Co generated revenue of 51.3B KRW at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue declined 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at 5.1B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 678.71 KRW (bear case) to 1,131 KRW (bull case); at 1,987 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -54%, 018680 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 893.68 KRW 1,200 KRW 1,715 KRW 80
Residual Income 2,464 KRW 2,328 KRW 1,811 KRW 76
Rev-Margin DCF 768.38 KRW 1,123 KRW 1,554 KRW 74
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 860.70 KRW 1,177 KRW 1,748 KRW 38
Owner Earnings 2,195 KRW 2,998 KRW 4,452 KRW 31
5Y Revenue Exit 768.38 KRW 1,108 KRW 1,587 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 608.16 KRW 833.74 KRW 1,123 KRW 41
5Y P/E Exit 686.68 KRW 968.10 KRW 1,294 KRW 38
10Y Revenue Exit 775.10 KRW 1,078 KRW 1,426 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 697.71 KRW 896.57 KRW 1,117 KRW 37
10Y P/E Exit 746.06 KRW 985.59 KRW 1,230 KRW 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 439.54 KRW 779.92 KRW 959.31 KRW 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple 678.71 KRW 904.94 KRW 1,131 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 824.14 KRW 1,099 KRW 1,374 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 824.14 KRW 1,099 KRW 1,374 KRW 55
EV/EBITDA 529.26 KRW 707.15 KRW 885.04 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 769.89 KRW 1,102 KRW 1,434 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,760 KRW 2,359 KRW 3,521 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 893.68 KRW 1,200 KRW 1,715 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 768.38 KRW 1,123 KRW 1,554 KRW 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,464 KRW 2,328 KRW 1,811 KRW 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 488.31 KRW 697.58 KRW 906.85 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (2,359 KRW) versus Growth Earnings (697.58 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 51.3B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.4%
Net margin 1.4%
Return on equity 1.8%
Free cash flow 992M KRW FY2025
Operating margin -1.5%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +1,417%
Net debt 5.1B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Seoul Pharma Co., Ltd manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products in South Korea and internationally. The company offers orally disintegrating film products for therapeutic areas, including urology, neurology, nutrition, endocrinology, and OB/GY.

Full company description

Seoul Pharma Co., Ltd manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products in South Korea and internationally. The company offers orally disintegrating film products for therapeutic areas, including urology, neurology, nutrition, endocrinology, and OB/GY. Its products include VULTEUM and VULTIS for erectile dysfunction; ARTPEZIL for Alzheimer' disease; OBCARE to treat overactive bladder with symptoms of urge urinary incontinence, urgency, and urinary frequency; and CH.V, as well as products for schizophrenia, vitamin supplement, obesity, tonic, and menopausal syndrome. The company also provides Ator for high blood pressure treatment; Flavel to treat stroke; Axated, a peptic ulcer medication; Crestin to treat hyperlipidemia; and Weltmin and Fendigene for the treatment of obesity. It also owns patents to orally dispersible films. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Cheongju-si, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Seoul Pharma Co reported revenue of 52.1B KRW in FY2025 versus 40.5B KRW in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was 754M KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
52.1B KRW
Latest YoY
−2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Revenue +6.5%/yr
FY21 40.5B KRW
FY22 50.1B KRW
FY23 52.5B KRW
FY24 53.6B KRW
FY25 52.1B KRW
Net income
FY21 −9.7B KRW
FY22 855M KRW
FY23 3.5B KRW
FY24 1.7B KRW
FY25 754M KRW

018680 screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seoul Pharma Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/018680

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 622 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −55% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 6
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 7 · sector 24
HEALTH 88 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Seoul Pharma Co (018680) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 904.94 KRW versus a price of 1,987 KRW, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 018680?
Our model-based fair value for Seoul Pharma Co is 904.94 KRW (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,987 KRW.
What is the quality score of 018680?
Seoul Pharma Co has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Seoul Pharma Co (018680)?
Seoul Pharma Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 51.3B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 018680?
The net profit margin of Seoul Pharma Co is about 1.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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